2025 ICB: dryland winter crops for the Rooi Karoo
WINTER CROPS  //  2025 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat and canola for Rooi Karoo
Area Rooi Karoo
Crop Wheat Canola
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.15 1.25
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2025 R/ton 6 327 7 637
Total deductions R/ton 1 078 80
– Transport differential R/ton 800 50
– Grade differential R/ton 168
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 110 29
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 764
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 249 8 321
Gross income R/ha R11 286 R10 401

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 32 30
Fertilizer R/ha 2 364 2 310
Lime R/ha 197 197
Seed R/ha 749 1 685
Fuel R/ha 691 558
Herbicide R/ha 1 467 816
Insecticide R/ha 169 413
Fungicides R/ha 537 445
Marketing costs R/ha 49 15
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 832 832
Casual labour R/ha 17 21
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 44 44
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 148 R7 367
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 324 R5 893
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 138 R3 034
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 925 R2 427
Break-even yield T/ha 1.36 0.89
Break-even price R/ton R3 324 R5 893
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2025.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Rooi Karoo

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.15 2.25 2.50 2.75
R4 249 -774 289 1 351 1 988 2 413 3 475 4 538
R4 499 -399 726 1 851 2 526 2 976 4 100 5 225
R4 749 -24 1 164 2 351 3 063 3 538 4 725 5 913
R4 999 351 1 601 2 851 3 601 4 101 5 350 6 600
R5 249 726 2 039 3 351 4 138 4 663 5 975 7 288
R5 499 1 101 2 476 3 851 4 676 5 226 6 600 7 975
R5 749 1 476 2 914 4 351 5 213 5 788 7 225 8 663
R5 999 1 851 3 351 4 851 5 751 6 351 7 850 9 350
R6 249 2 226 3 789 5 351 6 288 6 913 8 475 10 038
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.65 0.90 1.15 1.25 1.40 1.65 1.90
R7 321 -2 608 -778 1 052 1 784 2 882 4 713 6 543
R7 571 -2 446 -553 1 340 2 097 3 232 5 125 7 018
R7 821 -2 283 -328 1 627 2 409 3 582 5 538 7 493
R8 071 -2 121 -103 1 915 2 722 3 932 5 950 7 968
R8 321 -1 958 122 2 202 3 034 4 282 6 363 8 443
R8 571 -1 796 347 2 490 3 347 4 632 6 775 8 918
R8 821 -1 633 572 2 777 3 659 4 982 7 188 9 393
R9 071 -1 471 797 3 065 3 972 5 332 7 600 9 868
R9 321 -1 308 1 022 3 352 4 284 5 682 8 013 10 343
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 571 R7 821 R8 071 R8 321 R8 571 R8 821 R9 071
0.25 -9 612 -9 550 -9 487 -9 425 -9 362 -9 300 -9 237
0.65 -6 584 -6 422 -6 259 -6 097 -5 934 -5 772 -5 609
0.90 -4 691 -4 466 -4 241 -4 016 -3 791 -3 566 -3 341
1.15 -2 799 -2 511 -2 224 -1 936 -1 649 -1 361 -1 074
1.25 -2 041 -1 729 -1 416 -1 104 -791 -479 -166
1.40 -906 -556 -206 144 494 844 1 194
1.65 987 1 399 1 812 2 224 2 637 3 049 3 462
1.90 2 880 3 355 3 830 4 305 4 780 5 255 5 730
2.00 3 637 4 137 4 637 5 137 5 637 6 137 6 637

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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