2025 ICB: dryland winter crops in Southern Cape (Bredasdorp)
WINTER CROPS  //  2025 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Area Southern Cape: Bredasdorp
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.75 2.40 1.40
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2025 R/ton 6 327 6 327 7 637 6 327 5 440
Total deductions R/ton 1 090 1 119 29 924 194
– Transport differential R/ton 800 800 800 94
– Grade differential R/ton 168 286
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 123 33 29 124 100
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 74 764
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 237 5 387 8 371 5 403 5 246
Gross income R/ha R15 711 R16 161 R14 650 R12 968 R7 344

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 45 46 42 37
Fertilizer R/ha 3 024 2 894 3 104 2 415 1 054
Lime R/ha 262 262 262 220 220
Seed R/ha 825 719 1 551 1 185 942
Fuel R/ha 750 767 743 734 667
Herbicide R/ha 1 613 1 016 1 118 897 1 061
Insecticide R/ha 311 104 531 122 108
Fungicides R/ha 716 1 083 544 474 644
Marketing costs R/ha 108 99 19
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 890 804 916 858 492
Casual labour R/ha 17 24 22 15 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 36 165 153 123 123
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 598 R7 984 R9 004 R7 079 R5 319
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 866 R2 661 R5 145 R2 950 R3 799
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 113 R8 177 R5 645 R5 889 R2 025
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 371 R2 726 R3 226 R2 454 R1 446
Break-even yield T/ha 1.64 1.48 1.08 1.31 1.01
Break-even price R/ton R2 866 R2 661 R5 145 R2 950 R3 799
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2025.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Graph showing gross margin comparison for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Bredasdorp

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 237 935 1 994 3 054 4 113 5 172 6 232 7 291
R4 487 1 498 2 619 3 741 4 863 5 985 7 107 8 228
R4 737 2 060 3 244 4 429 5 613 6 797 7 982 9 166
R4 987 2 623 3 869 5 116 6 363 7 610 8 857 10 103
R5 237 3 185 4 494 5 804 7 113 8 422 9 732 11 041
R5 487 3 748 5 119 6 491 7 863 9 235 10 607 11 978
R5 737 4 310 5 744 7 179 8 613 10 047 11 482 12 916
R5 987 4 873 6 369 7 866 9 363 10 860 12 357 13 853
R6 237 5 435 6 994 8 554 10 113 11 672 13 232 14 791
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 387 1 887 2 983 4 080 5 177 6 274 7 370 8 467
R4 637 2 449 3 608 4 768 5 927 7 086 8 245 9 405
R4 887 3 012 4 233 5 455 6 677 7 899 9 120 10 342
R5 137 3 574 4 858 6 143 7 427 8 711 9 995 11 280
R5 387 4 137 5 483 6 830 8 177 9 524 10 870 12 217
R5 637 4 699 6 108 7 518 8 927 10 336 11 745 13 155
R5 887 5 262 6 733 8 205 9 677 11 149 12 620 14 092
R6 137 5 824 7 358 8 893 10 427 11 961 13 495 15 030
R6 387 6 387 7 983 9 580 11 177 12 774 14 370 15 967
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.15 1.40 1.65 1.75 1.90 2.15 2.40
R7 371 -527 1 315 3 158 3 895 5 001 6 844 8 687
R7 621 -240 1 665 3 571 4 333 5 476 7 381 9 287
R7 871 48 2 015 3 983 4 770 5 951 7 919 9 887
R8 121 335 2 365 4 396 5 208 6 426 8 456 10 487
R8 371 623 2 715 4 808 5 645 6 901 8 994 11 087
R8 621 910 3 065 5 221 6 083 7 376 9 531 11 687
R8 871 1 198 3 415 5 633 6 520 7 851 10 069 12 287
R9 121 1 485 3 765 6 046 6 958 8 326 10 606 12 887
R9 371 1 773 4 115 6 458 7 395 8 801 11 144 13 487
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 621 R7 871 R8 121 R8 371 R8 621 R8 871 R9 121
0.90 -9 258 -9 033 -8 808 -8 583 -8 358 -8 133 -7 908
1.15 -7 353 -7 065 -6 778 -6 490 -6 203 -5 915 -5 628
1.40 -5 448 -5 098 -4 748 -4 398 -4 048 -3 698 -3 348
1.65 -3 542 -3 130 -2 717 -2 305 -1 892 -1 480 -1 067
1.75 -2 780 -2 343 -1 905 -1 468 -1 030 -593 -155
1.90 -1 637 -1 162 -687 -212 263 738 1 213
2.15 268 806 1 343 1 881 2 418 2 956 3 493
2.40 2 174 2 774 3 374 3 974 4 574 5 174 5 774
2.65 4 079 4 742 5 404 6 067 6 729 7 392 8 054

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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