2025 ICB: dryland winter crops in Eastern Ruêns (normal potential)
WINTER CROPS  //  2025 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – normal potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (normal potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.50 2.50 1.75 2.20 1.50
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2025 R/ton 6 327 6 327 7 637 6 327 5 440
Total deductions R/ton 1 090 1 119 29 924 194
– Transport differential R/ton 800 800 800 94
– Grade differential R/ton 168 286
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 123 33 29 124 100
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 74 764
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 237 5 387 8 371 5 403 5 246
Gross income R/ha R13 093 R13 468 R14 650 R11 888 R7 869

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 38 39 42 34
Fertilizer R/ha 2 430 2 300 3 295 1 945 1 144
Lime R/ha 262 262 262 220
Seed R/ha 605 439 1 551 1 151 958
Fuel R/ha 730 746 743 725 671
Herbicide R/ha 1 613 1 016 1 118 897 1 061
Insecticide R/ha 311 104 531 122 108
Fungicides R/ha 716 1 083 544 474 644
Marketing costs R/ha 65 89 37
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 887 837 946 699 367
Casual labour R/ha 17 21 21 14 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 36 165 153 123 123
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 709 R7 102 R9 243 R6 404 R5 085
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 083 R2 841 R5 282 R2 911 R3 390
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 384 R6 366 R5 406 R5 483 R2 784
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 154 R2 546 R3 089 R2 492 R1 856
Break-even yield T/ha 1.47 1.32 1.10 1.19 0.97
Break-even price R/ton R3 083 R2 841 R5 282 R2 911 R3 390
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2025.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – normal potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - normal potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (normal potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R4 237 -284 766 1 825 2 884 3 943 5 003 6 062
R4 487 144 1 266 2 387 3 509 4 631 5 753 6 874
R4 737 581 1 766 2 950 4 134 5 318 6 503 7 687
R4 987 1 019 2 266 3 512 4 759 6 006 7 253 8 499
R5 237 1 456 2 766 4 075 5 384 6 693 8 003 9 312
R5 487 1 894 3 266 4 637 6 009 7 381 8 753 10 124
R5 737 2 331 3 766 5 200 6 634 8 068 9 503 10 937
R5 987 2 769 4 266 5 762 7 259 8 756 10 253 11 749
R6 237 3 206 4 766 6 325 7 884 9 443 11 003 12 562
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R4 387 576 1 672 2 769 3 866 4 963 6 060 7 156
R4 637 1 013 2 172 3 332 4 491 5 650 6 810 7 969
R4 887 1 451 2 672 3 894 5 116 6 338 7 560 8 781
R5 137 1 888 3 172 4 457 5 741 7 025 8 310 9 594
R5 387 2 326 3 672 5 019 6 366 7 713 9 060 10 406
R5 637 2 763 4 172 5 582 6 991 8 400 9 810 11 219
R5 887 3 201 4 672 6 144 7 616 9 088 10 560 12 031
R6 137 3 638 5 172 6 707 8 241 9 775 11 310 12 844
R6 387 4 076 5 672 7 269 8 866 10 463 12 060 13 656
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50
R7 371 -1 872 -29 1 813 3 656 5 499 7 342 9 185
R7 621 -1 622 283 2 188 4 094 5 999 7 904 9 810
R7 871 -1 372 596 2 563 4 531 6 499 8 467 10 435
R8 121 -1 122 908 2 938 4 969 6 999 9 029 11 060
R8 371 -872 1 221 3 313 5 406 7 499 9 592 11 685
R8 621 -622 1 533 3 688 5 844 7 999 10 154 12 310
R8 871 -372 1 846 4 063 6 281 8 499 10 717 12 935
R9 121 -122 2 158 4 438 6 719 8 999 11 279 13 560
R9 371 128 2 471 4 813 7 156 9 499 11 842 14 185
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 621 R7 871 R8 121 R8 371 R8 621 R8 871 R9 121
0.75 -8 912 -8 724 -8 537 -8 349 -8 162 -7 974 -7 787
1.00 -7 006 -6 756 -6 506 -6 256 -6 006 -5 756 -5 506
1.25 -5 101 -4 789 -4 476 -4 164 -3 851 -3 539 -3 226
1.50 -3 196 -2 821 -2 446 -2 071 -1 696 -1 321 -946
1.75 -1 290 -853 -415 22 460 897 1 335
2.00 615 1 115 1 615 2 115 2 615 3 115 3 615
2.25 2 520 3 083 3 645 4 208 4 770 5 333 5 895
2.50 4 426 5 051 5 676 6 301 6 926 7 551 8 176
2.75 6 331 7 018 7 706 8 393 9 081 9 768 10 456

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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