Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2003 November

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated November 2003)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Requirements / Sales 118 414 82 988 127 000 1 149 224 1 210 396 1 200 000
Available / Produced 128 000 123 000 122 000 482 448 472 311 417 360
Shortage / Imports -9 586 -40 012 5 000 666 776 738 085 782 640

2003/2004 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
AFMA Members 100 652 70 540 109 622 796 977 816 934 779 659
Non-AFMA Members 17 762 12 448 17 378 352 247 393 462 420 341
Total 118 414 82 988 127 000 1 149 224 1 210 396 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
2003/2004 – Estimate
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 13.7% of total fishmeal usage for 03/04.
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 35% of total oilcake usage for 03/04.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Sunflower oilcake 232 460 5.71 212 359 5.18 300 386 7.26
Groundnuts oilcake 4 942 0.12 7 386 0.18 2 810 0.07
Soy oilcake 368 054 9.06 413 443 11.07 310 020 7.49
Full fat soy 127 492 3.18 121 426 2.96 114 776 2.77
Cotton oilcake 43 216 1.03 44 939 1.09 33 946 0.82
Full fat cotton 10 525 0.26 6 768 0.16 3 843 0.09
Canola oilcake 8 347 0.15 7 514 0.18 8 064 0.20
Full fat canola         842 0.02
Total oilcake 796 977 19.53 816 934 19.90 779 659 18.84
Total maize products 2 227 979 55.58 2 268 560 55.27 2 283 082 55.16
Total fishmeal 100 652 2.48 70 540 1.72 109 622 2.65

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
AFMA raw material usage April 2003 to March 2004.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
RSA 115 000 110 000 110 000
Namibia 13 000 13 000 12 000
Total 128 000 123 000 122 000 -9 586 -40 012 5 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2003/2004 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2001/2002-2003/2004)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 7 437 8 132 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 271 740 293 328 296 814 67 151 14 112
Soy cake 38 445 7 440 459 266 562 266
– Full fat 103 075 112 560 72 256 15 807 22 800
– Beans
Cotton cake 25 945 16 781 13 041 91 025 88 921
– Full fat 5 306 1 485 24 565 24 474
Other 8 610 25 226
Canola 14 162 20 885 22 424
Lupins 16 338 11 700 4 800
Copra & Palm Kernel 352
Total 482 448 472 311 417 360 666 776 738 085 782 641

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
2003/2004 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (1999/2000-2003/2004 marketing season)
Crop 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
White maize 4 664 000 6 154 500 4 109 790 5 078 000 5 862 400
Yellow maize 2 681 000 3 986 440 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 256 375
Sorghum 155 950 352 450 175 580 208 000 196 703
Groundnuts 98 250 113 550 183 840 120 000 66 205
Sunflower 1 109 000 530 625 638 320 932 000 706 760
Soybeans 188 367 148 720 209 705 216 000 139 420
Cotton seed¹ 77 280 40 537 34 438 36 530 28 752
Wheat 1 725 000 2 122 440 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 565 100
Sweet lupins 13 000 17 360 16 338 11 700 3 030
Canola 23 000 26 549 25 750 37 975 36 440

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate for winter crops (20 August 2003) and final production estimate for summer crops for the 2003/2004 marketing year (20 August 2003).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 718 000 0 5 862 000 7 580 000
Yellow maize 992 000 150 000 3 256 000 4 398 000
Sorghum 44 000 30 000 207 000 281 000
Groundnuts 40 300 14 000 66 200 120 500
Sunflower 283 000 1 000 707 000 991 000
Soybeans 105 300 20 000 139 000 264 300
Wheat 915 000 840 000 1 674 000 3 429 000
Canola 1 600 0 40 700 42 300

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Maize production figures differ from the NCEC figures as GSA includes early deliveries in their opening stocks.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (1998/1999-2003/2004 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
White maize 1 829 700 2 003 000 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 083 350
Yellow maize 1 075 000 1 227 440 1 111 900 1 111 000 1 017 000
Sorghum 98 900 142 200 88 300 75 000 84 610
Groundnuts 94 550 82 600 165 250 94 160 50 300
Sunflower 828 000 396 350 521 695 645 510 628 100
Soybeans 130 500 93 787 134 150 124 150 108 130
Wheat 748 000 718 000 860 000 959 400 941 100 748 000
Sweet lupins 16 300 19 000 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100
Canola 17 000 25 000 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Area estimate for summer crops 2002/2003 production season. Third area estimate for winter crops 2003/2004 production season.

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September