WINTER CROPS  |  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Area Southern Cape: Caledon
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.40 3.40 1.90 2.60 1.60
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 7 038 9 364 7 038 6 801
Total deductions R/ton 939 889 168 881 140
– Transport differential R/ton 615 615 137 840 100
– Grade differential R/ton 210 194
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 114 79 31 41 40
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 099 6 028 10 132 6 158 6 661
Gross income R/ha R20 737 R20 494 R19 252 R16 010 R10 657

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 60 59 55 46 31
Fertilizer R/ha 5 109 5 151 5 300 4 139 1 690
Lime R/ha 199 199 199 167 167
Seed R/ha 681 540 1 576 521 980
Fuel R/ha 735 755 726 715 651
Herbicide R/ha 1 804 1 141 1 276 927 882
Insecticide R/ha 282 284 474 205 186
Fungicides R/ha 668 1 079 565 541 249
Marketing costs R/ha 68 84 20
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 720 703 645 661 417
Casual labour R/ha 19 20 21 19 15
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 122 127 117 99 99
Total variable expenditure R/ha R10 466 R10 143 R10 973 R8 039 R5 365
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 078 R2 983 R5 775 R3 092 R3 353
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R10 271 R10 351 R8 279 R7 970 R5 292
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R3 021 R3 045 R4 357 R3 066 R3 308
Break-even yield T/ha 1.72 1.68 1.08 1.31 0.81
Break-even price R/ton R3 078 R2 983 R5 775 R3 092 R3 353
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Graph showing gross margin comparison for Southern Cape (Caledon region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Caledon

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.70 2.95 3.20 3.40 3.70 3.95 4.20
R5 099 3 302 4 577 5 851 6 871 8 401 9 676 10 950
R5 349 3 977 5 314 6 651 7 721 9 326 10 663 12 000
R5 599 4 652 6 052 7 451 8 571 10 251 11 651 13 050
R5 849 5 327 6 789 8 251 9 421 11 176 12 638 14 100
R6 099 6 002 7 527 9 051 10 271 12 101 13 626 15 150
R6 349 6 677 8 264 9 851 11 121 13 026 14 613 16 200
R6 599 7 352 9 002 10 651 11 971 13 951 15 601 17 250
R6 849 8 027 9 739 11 451 12 821 14 876 16 588 18 300
R7 099 8 702 10 477 12 251 13 671 15 801 17 576 19 350
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.70 2.95 3.20 3.40 3.70 3.95 4.20
R5 028 3 432 4 689 5 946 6 951 8 460 9 717 10 974
R5 278 4 107 5 426 6 746 7 801 9 385 10 704 12 024
R5 528 4 782 6 164 7 546 8 651 10 310 11 692 13 074
R5 778 5 457 6 901 8 346 9 501 11 235 12 679 14 124
R6 028 6 132 7 639 9 146 10 351 12 160 13 667 15 174
R6 278 6 807 8 376 9 946 11 201 13 085 14 654 16 224
R6 528 7 482 9 114 10 746 12 051 14 010 15 642 17 274
R6 778 8 157 9 851 11 546 12 901 14 935 16 629 18 324
R7 028 8 832 10 589 12 346 13 751 15 860 17 617 19 374
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.15 1.40 1.65 1.90 2.15 2.40 2.65
R9 132 -470 1 813 4 096 6 379 8 662 10 945 13 228
R9 382 -183 2 163 4 508 6 854 9 200 11 545 13 891
R9 632 105 2 513 4 921 7 329 9 737 12 145 14 553
R9 882 392 2 863 5 333 7 804 10 275 12 745 15 216
R10 132 680 3 213 5 746 8 279 10 812 13 345 15 878
R10 382 967 3 563 6 158 8 754 11 350 13 945 16 541
R10 632 1 255 3 913 6 571 9 229 11 887 14 545 17 203
R10 882 1 542 4 263 6 983 9 704 12 425 15 145 17 866
R11 132 1 830 4 613 7 396 10 179 12 962 15 745 18 528
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 382 R9 632 R9 882 R10 132 R10 382 R10 632 R10 882
0.90 -12 800 -12 575 -12 350 -12 125 -11 900 -11 675 -11 450
1.15 -10 454 -10 167 -9 879 -9 592 -9 304 -9 017 -8 729
1.40 -8 109 -7 759 -7 409 -7 059 -6 709 -6 359 -6 009
1.65 -5 763 -5 350 -4 938 -4 525 -4 113 -3 700 -3 288
1.90 -3 417 -2 942 -2 467 -1 992 -1 517 -1 042 -567
2.15 -1 072 -534 3 541 1 078 1 616 2 153
2.40 1 274 1 874 2 474 3 074 3 674 4 274 4 874
2.65 3 620 4 282 4 945 5 607 6 270 6 932 7 595
2.90 5 965 6 690 7 415 8 140 8 865 9 590 10 315

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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