Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated November 2012)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Requirements / Sales 58 000 37 000 45 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 856 360
Available / Produced 111 500 94 000 195 000 701 030 624 912 766 927
Shortage / Imports -53 500 -57 000 -60 000 1 042 107 1 232 578 1 089 433

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
AFMA Members 57 680 30 754 26 492 1 218 476 1 255 258 1 329 126
Non-AFMA Members 320 6 246 18 508 524 661 602 232 527 234
Total 58 000 37 000 45 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 856 360

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Sunflower oilcake 313 922 5.91 256 841 4.64 279 309 4.68
Groundnut oilcake 0 0.00 138 0.00 2 045 0.03
Soya oilcake 701 055 13.19 815 958 14.75 885 988 14.84
Full fat soya 164 840 3.10 142 758 2.58 122 772 2.06
Cottonseed oilcake 18 739 0.35 17 142 0.31 14 291 0.24
Full fat cottonseed 4 779 0.09 5 704 0.10 7 611 0.13
Canola oilcake 2 834 0.05 5 974 0.11 9 071 0.15
Full fat canola 618 0.01 1 056 0.02 0 0.00
Copra and Palm kernel 7 655 0.14 7 425 0.13 8 011 0.13
Maize germ oilcake 4 033 0.08 2 261 0.04 29 0.00
Total oilcake 1 218 476 22.93 1 255 258 22.69 1 329 126 22.26
Total maize products 2 900 624 54.58 3 034 924 54.87 3 237 558 54.21
Total fishmeal 57 680 1.09 30 754 0.56 26 492 0.44

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
RSA 98 000 72 000 90 000
Namibia ¹ 13 500 22 000 15 000
Total 111 500 94 000 105 000 -53 500 -57 000 -60 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake 0 3 1 1 235
Sunflower oilcake 364 140 249 984 336 966 84 906 103 062 57 159
Soya cake 103 520 152 000 227 600 829 000 989 112 922 499
  – Full fat 148 320 149 600 120 160
  – Beans 2 800 357 1 083
Cotton cake 20 000 7 500 88 000 87 354 68 333
  – Full fat 30 000 25 000 40 000 33 500 17 928 11 763
Other: 3 900 34 764 28 361
Canola 17 050 22 825 24 200
Lupins 18 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm kernel
Total 701 030 624 912 766 927 1 042 106 1 232 578 1 089 433

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009-2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
White maize 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 505 800
Yellow maize 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000 4 988 850
Sorghum 255 000 276 500 220 093 155 000 137 150
Groundnuts 88 800 99 500 87 880 64 250 60 290
Sunflower 872 000 801 000 516 265 860 000 577 110
Soybeans 282 000 516 000 560 950 710 000 646 950
Cotton seed ¹ 17 378 15 658 14 793 31 373 22 574
Wheat 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 761 860
Canola 30 800 40 350 36 900 58 800 64 010

Source: Third production estimate for winter crops (25 October 2012) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2012/2013 marketing year (26 September 2012).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White Maize 518 000 13 000 6 505 808 935 000 6 101 800
Yellow maize 476 000 120 000 4 988 850 206 000 5 378 850
Sorghum 51 100 85 000 137 150 20 000 253 250
Groundnuts 13 000 20 000 60 290 17 000 76 290
Sunflower 233 000 12 000 577 110 0 822 110
Soybeans 306 000 0 646 950 205 000 747 950
Wheat 579 000 1 385 000 1 761 860 200 000 3 525 860
Canola 7 000 0 64 010 0 71 010

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2007/2008-2012/2013 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
White maize 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 600 000
Yellow maize 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 135 000
Sorghum 86 800 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 64 650
Groundnuts 54 200 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 43 000
Sunflower 564 300 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 525 000
Soybeans 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 504 000
Wheat 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 551 200
Canola 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100
Total 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 466 950

Source: National Crops Estimates Committee – Intentions to plant summer crops 2012/2013 production season (25 October 2012). Area estimate to plant winter crops 2012 production season (25 October 2012).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September