2025 ICB: dryland winter crops for Darling-vlakte (Hopefield)
WINTER CROPS  //  2025 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and lupins for Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Area Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Crop Wheat Canola Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.35 1.40 1.50
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2025 R/ton 6 327 7 637 5 440
Total deductions R/ton 1 078 29 129
– Transport differential R/ton 800 94
– Grade differential R/ton 168
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 110 29 35
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 764
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 249 8 371 5 311
Gross income R/ha R12 336 R11 720 R7 966

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 35 34
Fertilizer R/ha 3 048 2 880 980
Lime R/ha 184 184 262
Seed R/ha 790 1 685 706
Fuel R/ha 729 518 525
Herbicide R/ha 1 467 816 922
Insecticide R/ha 169 413 148
Fungicides R/ha 537 445 556
Marketing costs R/ha 53 17
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 832 732 577
Casual labour R/ha 17 21 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 44 44 44
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 906 R7 788 R4 727
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 364 R5 563 R3 151
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 430 R3 932 R3 239
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 885 R2 808 R2 159
Break-even yield T/ha 1.51 0.93 0.89
Break-even price R/ton R3 364 R5 563 R3 151
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2025.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Darling-vlakte – Hopefield

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.35 2.50 2.75 3.00
R4 249 -1 532 -469 593 2 080 2 717 3 780 4 842
R4 499 -1 157 -32 1 093 2 668 3 342 4 467 5 592
R4 749 -782 406 1 593 3 255 3 967 5 155 6 342
R4 999 -407 843 2 093 3 843 4 592 5 842 7 092
R5 249 -32 1 281 2 593 4 430 5 217 6 530 7 842
R5 499 343 1 718 3 093 5 018 5 842 7 217 8 592
R5 749 718 2 156 3 593 5 605 6 467 7 905 9 342
R5 999 1 093 2 593 4 093 6 193 7 092 8 592 10 092
R6 249 1 468 3 031 4 593 6 780 7 717 9 280 10 842
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.70 0.95 1.20 1.40 1.70 1.95 2.20
R7 371 -2 628 -785 1 057 2 532 4 743 6 586 8 429
R7 621 -2 453 -548 1 357 2 882 5 168 7 073 8 979
R7 871 -2 278 -310 1 657 3 232 5 593 7 561 9 529
R8 121 -2 103 -73 1 957 3 582 6 018 8 048 10 079
R8 371 -1 928 165 2 257 3 932 6 443 8 536 10 629
R8 621 -1 753 402 2 557 4 282 6 868 9 023 11 179
R8 871 -1 578 640 2 857 4 632 7 293 9 511 11 729
R9 121 -1 403 877 3 157 4 982 7 718 9 998 12 279
R9 371 -1 228 1 115 3 457 5 332 8 143 10 486 12 829
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 621 R7 871 R8 121 R8 371 R8 621 R8 871 R9 121
0.25 -10 313 -10 250 -10 188 -10 125 -10 063 -10 000 -9 938
0.70 -6 883 -6 708 -6 533 -6 358 -6 183 -6 008 -5 833
0.95 -4 978 -4 740 -4 503 -4 265 -4 028 -3 790 -3 553
1.20 -3 073 -2 773 -2 473 -2 173 -1 873 -1 573 -1 273
1.40 -1 548 -1 198 -848 -498 -148 202 552
1.70 738 1 163 1 588 2 013 2 438 2 863 3 288
1.95 2 643 3 131 3 618 4 106 4 593 5 081 5 568
2.20 4 549 5 099 5 649 6 199 6 749 7 299 7 849
2.25 4 930 5 492 6 055 6 617 7 180 7 742 8 305

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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