INCOME & COST BUDGETS  |  Summer Crops 2020/2021

KwaZulu-Natal – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize and soybeans for KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
KwaZulu-Natal: Bloedrivier
Crop Maize Soybeans
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 7.00 2.65
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2021 R/ton 2 633 5 897
Total deductions R/ton 413 139
– Transport differential R/ton 353
– Grade differential R/ton
– Marketing and handling R/ton 60 139
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 2 220 5 758
Gross income R/ha R15 538 R15 259

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 590 1 862
Fertilizer R/ha 3 416 1 433
Lime R/ha 613
Seed R/ha 2 764 1 272
Fuel R/ha 920 558
Herbicide R/ha 1 192 957
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 544 957
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 714 443
Casual labour R/ha 178
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R10 930 R7 912
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 561 R2 986
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 608 R7 347
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R658 R2 772
Break-even yield T/ha 4.92 1.37
Break-even price R/ton R1 561 R2 986
Source: BFAP, GSA and individual farmers – 2020
Gross margin comparison – baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
Gross margin comparison - Baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier Region)

Gross margin per hectare: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50
R1 820 -922 -12 898 1 808 2 718 3 628 4 537
R1 920 -372 588 1 548 2 508 3 468 4 428 5 387
R2 020 178 1 188 2 198 3 208 4 218 5 228 6 237
R2 120 728 1 788 2 848 3 908 4 968 6 028 7 087
R2 220 1 278 2 388 3 498 4 608 5 718 6 828 7 937
R2 320 1 828 2 988 4 148 5 308 6 468 7 628 8 787
R2 420 2 378 3 588 4 798 6 008 7 218 8 428 9 637
R2 520 2 928 4 188 5 448 6 708 7 968 9 228 10 487
R2 620 3 478 4 788 6 098 7 408 8 718 10 028 11 337
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.80 2.05 2.30 2.65 3.00 3.25 3.50
R5 258 1 732 3 072 4 412 6 287 8 162 9 502 10 841
R5 458 1 912 3 277 4 642 6 552 8 462 9 827 11 191
R5 558 2 092 3 482 4 872 6 817 8 762 10 152 11 541
R5 658 2 272 3 687 5 102 7 082 9 062 10 477 11 891
R5 758 2 452 3 892 5 332 7 347 9 362 10 802 12 241
R5 858 2 632 4 097 5 562 7 612 9 662 11 127 12 591
R5 958 2 812 4 302 5 792 7 877 9 962 11 452 12 941
R6 058 2 992 4 507 6 022 8 142 10 262 11 777 13 291
R6 158 3 172 4 712 6 252 8 407 10 562 12 102 13 641
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 458 R5 558 R5 658 R5 758 R5 858 R5 958 R6 058
1.65 -3 513 -3 249 -3 184 -3 019 -2 854 -2 689 -2 524
1.90 -2 150 -1 960 -1 770 -1 580 -1 390 -1 200 -1 010
2.15 -785 -570 -355 -140 75 290 505
2.40 580 820 1 060 1 300 1 540 1 780 2 020
2.65 1 944 2 209 2 474 2 739 3 004 3 269 3 534
2.90 3 309 3 599 3 889 4 179 4 469 4 759 5 049
3.15 4 673 4 988 5 303 5 618 5 933 6 248 6 563
3.40 6 038 6 378 6 718 7 058 7 398 7 738 8 078
3.65 7 402 7 767 8 132 8 497 8 862 9 227 9 592

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Fertiliser assumptions (kg/ha): Maize N:P:K – 140:22:22. Soybeans N:P:K – 10:18:36.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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