Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2004 November

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated November 2004)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Requirements / Sales 82 988 127 000 127 000 1 210 396 1 121 460 1 200 000
Available / Produced 123 000 133 000 147 000 472 311 489 413 456 743
Shortage / Imports -40 012 -6 000 -5 000 738 085 632 047 743 257

2004/2005 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
AFMA Members 70 540 114 402 113 945 816 934 784 961 813 235
Non-AFMA Members 12 448 12 598 13 055 393 462 336 499 386 765
Total 82 988 127 000 127 000 1 210 396 1 121 460 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
2004/2005 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Sunflower oilcake 212 359 5.18 273 123 6.51 233 198 5.44
Groundnuts oilcake 7 386 0.18 1 762 0.04 643 0.02
Soy oilcake 413 443 11.07 364 882 8.70 434 182 10.13
Full fat soy 121 426 2.96 88 950 2.12 83 726 1.95
Cotton oilcake 44 939 1.09 38 044 0.91 47 621 1.11
Full fat cotton 6 768 0.16 4 692 0.11 3 847 0.09
Canola oilcake 7 514 0.18 6 490 0.15 4 049 0.09
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 1 004 0.02
Total oilcake 816 934 19.90 784 961 18.74 913 235 18.98
Total maize products 2 268 560 55.27 2 344 042 55.91 2 414 441 56.35
Total fishmeal 70 540 1.72 114 402 2.73 113 945 2.66

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
AFMA raw material usage April 2004 to March 2005.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
RSA 110 000 120 000 135 000
Namibia 13 000 13 000 12 000
Total 123 000 133 000 147 000 -40 012 -6 000 -20 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2004/2005 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2002/2003-2004/2005)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 8 132 1 766 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 293 328 336 000 260 358 14 112 24 379
Soy cake 7 440 6 000 562 552 477 814
– Full fat 112 560 113 280 130 628 22 800 19 502
– Beans
Cotton cake 16 781 11 296 21 551 88 921 73 760
– Full fat 1 485 2 346 24 474 22 413
Other 25 226 14 181
Canola 20 885 14 685 29 081
Lupins 11 700 4 040 7 100
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 472 311 489 413 456 743 738 085 632 049 743 257

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2001/2002 and 2002/2003
2004/2005 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2000/2001-2004/2005 marketing season)
Crop 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
White maize 6 154 500 4 109 790 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 346 150
Yellow maize 3 986 440 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 360 100
Sorghum 352 450 175 580 208 000 219 700 336 370
Groundnuts 113 550 183 840 120 200 60 000 98 265
Sunflower 530 625 638 320 932 000 642 075 663 400
Soybeans 148 720 209 705 216 000 136 500 217 885
Cotton seed ¹ 40 537 34 438 36 530 29 278 48 373
Wheat 2 122 440 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 428 150 1 976 475
Sweet lupins 17 360 16 338 11 700 4 040 5 000
Canola 26 549 25 750 37 975 40 770 45 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate for winter crops (20 October 2004) and final production estimate for summer crops for the 2004/2005 marketing year (20 September 2004).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2004/2005 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 123 000 0 5 346 000 7 469 000
Yellow maize 510 000 180 000 3 360 000 4 050 000
Sorghum 49 000 6 346 000 395 006
Groundnuts 16 700 20 000 101 000 137 700
Sunflower 126 000 17 000 663 000 806 000
Soybeans 48 700 19 000 218 000 285 700
Wheat 511 000 840 000 1 976 000 3 327 000
Canola 7 270 0 45 500 52 770

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (1999/2000-2004/2005 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
White maize 2 003 000 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 727 600 1 810 700
Yellow maize 1 227 440 1 111 900 1 111 000 950 350 918 000 1 043 300
Sorghum 142 200 88 300 75 000 95 100 118 750 131 000
Groundnuts 82 600 165 250 94 160 49 850 62 300 56 500
Sunflower 396 350 521 695 645 510 605 750 526 125 555 000
Soybeans 93 787 134 150 124 150 100 150 122 260 145 000
Wheat 718 000 860 000 959 400 941 100 748 000 851 200
Sweet lupins 19 000 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100
Canola 25 000 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200 45 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First intentions to plant for summer crops 2004/2005 production season (20 September 2004). Area estimate for winter crops 2004/2005 production season (20 October 2004).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September