Fourth production forecast for summer crops (2024)
Vierde produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2024)
Summer crops / Somergewasse
- Summer crops / Somergewasse
- Graph: Total maize / Grafiek: Totale mielies
- Graph: White maize / Grafiek: Witmielies
- Graph: Yellow maize / Grafiek: Geelmielies
- White and yellow maize / Wit- en geelmielies
- Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
- Soybeans / Sojabone
- Groundnuts / Grondbone
- Dry beans / Droëbone
- Sorghum
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
| Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
| White maize / Witmielies | 1 554 750 | 6 343 350 | 6 406 950 | 1 521 300 | 8 505 000 | -0.99 |
| Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 1 081 500 | 6 966 500 | 6 978 750 | 1 064 800 | 7 925 000 | -0.26 |
| Total Maize / Totale Mielies | 2 636 250 | 13 309 850 | 13 391 700 | 2 586 100 | 16 430 000 | -0.61 |
| Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad | 529 000 | 649 250 | 615 000 | 555 700 | 720 000 | 5.57 |
| Soybeans / Sojabone | 1 150 500 | 1 778 790 | 1 813 790 | 1 148 300 | 2 770 000 | -1.93 |
| Groundnuts / Grondbone | 41 200 | 54 440 | 54 960 | 31 300 | 53 000 | -0.95 |
| Sorghum | 42 100 | 95 830 | 94 105 | 34 000 | 94 360 | 1.83 |
| Dry beans / Droëbone | 39 550 | 52 190 | 54 120 | 36 650 | 50 260 | -3.57 |
| Total / Totaal | 4 438 600 | 15 940 350 | 16 023 675 | 4 392 050 | 20 117 620 | -0.52 |
| Non-Commercial Maize/Nie-Kommersiële Mielies | ||||||
| Total maize / Totale mielies | 347 000 | 575 000 | 575 000 | 358 620 | 664 040 | 0.00 |
| Maize/Mielies: Commercial/Kommersieël + Non-Commercial/Nie-Kommersieël | ||||||
| Total maize RSA / Totale mielies RSA | 2 983 250 | 13 884 850 | 13 966 700 | 2 944 720 | 17 094 040 | -0.59 |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2023/2024 = 2024
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2023/2024 = 2024
Production forecast February to May 2024 Produksieskatting
Down by 1,050 million tons / Minder met 1,050 miljoen ton
Production forecast February to May 2024 Produksieskatting
Down by / Minder met 697 550 ton
Production forecast February to May 2024 Produksieskatting
Down by / Minder met 351 900 ton
| Area planted oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | ||||||||
| White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | ||||||||
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 250 | 3 500 | 3 750 | 2 300 | 32 200 | 34 500 | 250 | 3 500 | 3 750 | 2 375 | 33 000 | 35 375 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 1 500 | 42 000 | 43 500 | 18 300 | 672 000 | 690 300 | 1 000 | 43 500 | 44 500 | 12 500 | 696 000 | 708 500 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | |||||||||||
| 835 000 | 415 000 | 1 250 000 | 3 507 000 | 2 158 000 | 5 665 000 | 780 000 | 401 000 | 1 181 000 | 4 446 000 | 2 696 000 | 7 142 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 6 000 | 27 000 | 33 000 | 39 600 | 191 700 | 231 300 | 5 750 | 25 000 | 30 750 | 40 250 | 192 500 | 232 750 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | |||||||||||
| 47 000 | 67 000 | 114 000 | 291 400 | 582 900 | 874 300 | 49 000 | 65 000 | 114 000 | 298 900 | 537 000 | 835 900 |
| Mpumalanga | |||||||||||
| 160 000 | 360 000 | 520 000 | 1 000 000 | 2 448 000 | 3 448 000 | 156 500 | 352 000 | 508 500 | 1 032 900 | 2 596 000 | 3 628 900 |
| Limpopo | |||||||||||
| 11 000 | 15 000 | 26 000 | 74 250 | 121 500 | 195 750 | 16 800 | 22 800 | 39 600 | 114 075 | 187 000 | 301 075 |
| Gauteng | |||||||||||
| 54 000 | 62 000 | 116 000 | 310 500 | 409 200 | 719 700 | 56 000 | 52 000 | 108 000 | 364 000 | 392 500 | 756 500 |
| North West / Noordwes | |||||||||||
| 440 000 | 90 000 | 530 000 | 1 100 000 | 351 000 | 1 451 000 | 456 000 | 100 000 | 556 000 | 2 194 000 | 595 000 | 2 789 000 |
| Total / Totaal | |||||||||||
| 1 554 750 | 1 081 500 | 2 636 250 | 6 343 350 | 6 966 500 | 13 309 850 | 1 521 300 | 1 064 800 | 2 586 100 | 8 505 000 | 7 925 000 | 16 430 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 2 000 | 4 600 | 2 500 | 6 250 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 255 000 | 357 000 | 290 000 | 402 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 700 | 1 400 | 700 | 1 400 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 300 | 600 | 300 | 600 |
| Mpumalanga | 3 500 | 4 900 | 5 000 | 7 140 |
| Limpopo | 90 000 | 76 000 | 100 000 | 75 000 |
| Gauteng | 2 500 | 3 000 | 2 200 | 2 860 |
| North West / Noordwes | 175 000 | 201 250 | 155 000 | 224 750 |
| Total / Totaal | 529 000 | 649 250 | 555 700 | 720 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 200 | 4 380 | 1 000 | 3 750 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 545 000 | 681 250 | 565 000 | 1 330 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 5 300 | 14 310 | 4 300 | 12 900 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 47 000 | 169 200 | 44 000 | 163 000 |
| Mpumalanga | 320 000 | 576 000 | 305 000 | 671 000 |
| Limpopo | 21 000 | 71 400 | 26 000 | 88 500 |
| Gauteng | 56 000 | 84 000 | 48 000 | 105 600 |
| North West / Noordwes | 155 000 | 178 250 | 155 000 | 395 250 |
| Total / Totaal | 1 150 500 | 1 778 790 | 1 148 300 | 2 770 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 4 200 | 9 450 | 2 000 | 5 300 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 17 000 | 25 500 | 12 300 | 21 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 300 | 840 | 0 | 0 |
| Mpumalanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Limpopo | 1 700 | 4 250 | 2 000 | 4 700 |
| Gauteng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| North West / Noordwes | 18 000 | 14 400 | 15 000 | 22 000 |
| Total / Totaal | 41 200 | 54 440 | 31 300 | 53 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 200 | 100 | 180 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 500 | 1 050 | 450 | 990 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 13 500 | 11 475 | 14 000 | 13 300 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 200 | 440 | 200 | 360 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 2 100 | 2 520 | 2 100 | 3 150 |
| Mpumalanga | 2 600 | 4 420 | 5 000 | 7 000 |
| Limpopo | 12 200 | 24 400 | 8 000 | 16 000 |
| Gauteng | 850 | 935 | 800 | 880 |
| North West / Noordwes | 7 500 | 6 750 | 6 000 | 8 400 |
| Total / Totaal | 39 550 | 52 190 | 36 650 | 50 260 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 11 500 | 18 400 | 5 200 | 14 820 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 100 | 300 | 0 | 0 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 100 | 350 | 100 | 400 |
| Mpumalanga | 8 300 | 35 690 | 8 500 | 35 275 |
| Limpopo | 18 000 | 35 100 | 15 500 | 33 325 |
| Gauteng | 100 | 390 | 100 | 420 |
| North West / Noordwes | 4 000 | 5 600 | 4 600 | 10 120 |
| Total / Totaal | 42 100 | 95 830 | 34 000 | 94 360 |
Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast (2024) Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Summer field crops – 2024
Commercial maize
The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 13,310 million tons, which is 0,61% or 81 850 tons less than the previous forecast of 13,392 million tons. The expected yield for maize is 5,05 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 18,99% or 3,120 million tons smaller than the 2023 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 79% of the 2024 crop.
The production forecast of white maize is 6,343 million tons, which is 0,99% or 63 600 tons less than the 6,407 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,555 million ha and the expected yield is 4,08 t/ha.
In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 6,967 million tons, which is 0,26% or 18 250 tons less than the 6,985 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,082 million ha and the yield is 6,44 t/ha.
The yield per ha for the Free State and North West provinces were mainly based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC.
Other summer crops
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 649 250 tons, which is 5,57% or 34 250 tons more than the previous forecast of 615 000 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 529 000 ha, while the expected yield is 1,23 t/ha.
Other crops
The production forecast for soybeans is 1,779 million tons, which is 1,93% or 35 000 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,814 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,151 million ha, with an expected yield of 1,55 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop has been set at 54 440 tons, which is 0,95% or 520 tons less than the previous forecast of 54 960 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 41 200 ha, with an expected yield of 1,32 t/ha.
The production forecast for sorghum is 95 830 tons, which is 1,83% or 1 725 tons more than the 94 105 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 100 ha and the expected yield is 2,28 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast decreased by 3,57% or 1 930 tons, from 54 120 tons to 52 190 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 39 550 ha, with an expected yield of 1,32 t/ha.
Please note that the fifth production forecast for summer field crops for 2024 will be released on 27 June 2024.
Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Somergewasse – 2024
Kommersiële mielies
Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 13,310 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,61% of 81 850 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 13,392 miljoen ton. Die verwagte opbrengs van mielies is 5,05 t/ha.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 18,99% of 3,120 miljoen ton minder as die 2023-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 79% van die 2024-oes produseer.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,343 miljoen ton, wat 0,99% of 63 600 ton minder is as die 6,407 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,555 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 4,08 t/ha.
In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,967 miljoen ton, wat 0,26% of 18 250 ton minder is as die 6,985 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,082 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 6,44 t/ha.
Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies is hoofsaaklik gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR.
Ander somergewasse
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 649 250 ton, wat 5,57% of 34 250 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 615 000 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 529 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,23 t/ha is.
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,779 miljoen ton, wat 1,93% of 35 000 ton minder as die vorige skatting van 1,814 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1,151 miljoen ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,55 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes is op 54 440 ton gestel, wat 0,95% of 520 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 54 960 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 41 200 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,32 t/ha is.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 95 830 ton, wat 1,83% of 1 725 ton meer is as die 94 105 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 100 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,28 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone het die produksieskatting afgeneem met 3,57% of 1 930 ton, vanaf 54 120 ton tot 52 190 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 39 550 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,32 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2024, op 27 Junie 2024 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Production Produksie |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024 | 2023 | 2023 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (B) ÷ (D) | |
| Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou | |||||
| White maize / Witmielies | 267 570 | 407 500 | 278 655 | 472 765 | -13.80 |
| Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 79 430 | 167 500 | 79 965 | 191 275 | -12.43 |
| Maize / Mielies | 347 000 | 575 000 | 258 620 | 664 040 | -13.41 |
The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 347 000 ha, which represents a decrease of 3,24%, compared to the 358 620 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 575 000 tons, which is 13,41% less than the 664 040 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 46% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 22%.
Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 347 000 ha, wat 'n afname van 3,24% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 358 620 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 575 000 ton, wat 13,41% minder is as die 664 040 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 46% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 22%.
Area 2000-2024 Oppervlakte
Production 2000-2024 Produksie
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information. The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time. Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential. Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.