Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2017 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2017)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2015/2016-2017/2018) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
Requirements / Sales 20 000 20 000 20 000 1 981 986 1 678 146 1 682 498
Available / Produced 78 000 78 000 78 000 1 299 277 1 090 900 1 279 498
Shortage / Imports -58 000 -58 000 -58 000 682 709 587 246 403 000

2017/2018 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2014/2015-2016/2017) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017
AFMA Members 23 185 12 178 12 667 1 343 025 1 385 703 1 318 187
Non-AFMA Members -3 185 7 822 7 333 638 961 292 443 364 311
Total 20 000 20 000 20 000 1 981 986 1 678 146 1 682 498

Source: AFMA website
2016/2017 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2014/2015-2016/2017) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2014/2015   2015/2016   2016/2017  
Sunflower oilcake 294 583 4.58 308 633 4.30 29 356 4.62
Groundnut oilcake 1 917 0.03 573 0.01 0 0.00
Soya oilcake 821 670 12.78 936 283 13.03 891 467 13.76
Full fat soya 75 267 1.17 72 415 1.01 5 317 0.92
Cottonseed oilcake 20 892 0.32 8 888 0.12 9 245 0.14
Full fat cottonseed 10 340 0.16 7 845 0.11 9 852 0.15
Canola oilcake 23 555 0.37 38 109 0.53 37902 0.59
Full fat canola 0 0.00 546 0.00 71 0.00
Copra and Palm kernel 23 231 0.36 11 568 0.16 9 882 0.15
Maize germ oilcake 1 368 0.02 843 0.01 453 0.01
Total oilcake 1 343 025 19.79 1 385 703 19.29 1 318 187 20.35
Total maize products 3 493 998 51.69 3 595 160 50.05 3 363 649 51.93
Total fishmeal 23 185 0.31 12 178 0.17 12 667 0.20
Feed 6 714 004   6 908 424   6 476 933  

Source: AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2016 to March 2017 extrapolated from first 8 month usage.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (201/2014-2016/2017) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
RSA 65 000 62 000 64 600 75 000
Namibia ¹ 13 000 13 000 13 000 1 300
Total 78 000 75 000 77 600 76 300 0 0 0

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2016/2017 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2015/2016-2017/2018)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
(Projected)
2015/2016 2016/2017
(Projected)
2017/2018
(Projected)
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sunflower oilcake 280 368 264 279 315 400 67 887 0 0
Soya cake 750 898 647 754 760 000 587 692 552 246 368 000
  – Full fat 121 763 94 769 120 000
Cotton cake 59 468 9 000 9 000
  – Full fat 19 098 19 098 19 098 25 898 11 000 11 000
Other:
Canola 51 150 51 000 51 000 0 0 0
Lupins 6 000 14 000 14 000 0 0 0
Copra and Palm kernel 24 713 15 000 15 000
Total 1 229 277 1 090 900 1 279 498 765 658 587 246 403 000

Source: SAGIS
2016/2017 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 2 September 2017.