Summer crops 2023: seventh production forecast and first production forecast for 2023 winter cereals
Sewende produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2023) en eerste produksieskatting vir 2023 wintergewasse

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Seventh production forecast  2023  Sewende produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2023 2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 521 300 8 637 950 8 637 950 1 575 000 7 850 000
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 064 800 7 771 550 7 716 150 1 048 000 7 620 000 +0.72
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 586 100 16 409 500 16 354 100 2 623 000 15 470 000 +0.34
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 555 700 743 610 758 610 670 700 845 550 -1.98
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 148 300 2 755 300 2 755 300 925 300 2 230 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone 31 300 51 910 51 910 43 400 48 500
Sorghum 34 000 97 740 100 525 37 200 103 140 -2.77
Dry beans / Droëbone 36 650 50 260 48 560 42 900 52 590 +3.50
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totale mielies 358 620 664 040 664 040 378 800 667 000
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize / Totale mielies (RSA) 2 944 720 17 073 540 17 018 140 3 001 800 16 137 000 +0.33

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2022/2023 = 2023
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2022/2023 = 2023

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Graph of the total maize production over the years 2010-2023
White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Graph of the white maize production over the years 2010-2023
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Graph of the yellow maize production over the years 2010-2023
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Seventh production forecast  2023  Sewende produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop ¹
Finale oes ¹
2023 2023 2022 2022
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
250 3 500 3 750 2 375 32 900 35 275 500 3 500 4 000 4 750 32 900 37 650
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
1 000 43 500 44 500 12 500 669 900 682 400 3 000 42 000 45 000 36 000 672 000 708 000
Free State / Vrystaat
780 000 401 000 1 181 000 4 563 000 2 666 650 7 229 650 826 500 398 000 1 224 500 3 801 900 2 547 800 6 349 700
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 750 25 000 30 750 40 250 187 500 227 750 6 000 20 500 26 500 40 800 157 900 198 700
KwaZulu-Natal
49 000 65 000 114 000 308 700 533 000 841 700 52 000 59 000 111 000 322 400 489 700 812 100
Mpumalanga
156 500 352 000 508 500 1 040 725 2 534 400 3 575 125 165 000 350 000 515 000 1 072 500 2 554 000 3 626 500
Limpopo
16 800 22 800 39 600 117 600 182 400 300 000 15 500 25 000 40 500 102 300 202 500 304 800
Gauteng
56 000 52 000 108 000 364 000 384 800 748 800 56 500 56 000 112 500 361 600 403 200 764 800
North West / Noordwes
456 000 100 000 556 000 2 188 800 580 000 2 768 800 450 000 94 000 544 000 2 107 750 560 000 2 667 750
Total / Totaal
1 521 300 1 064 800 2 586 100 8 637 950 7 771 550 16 409 500 1 575 000 1 048 000 2 623 000 7 850 000 7 620 000 15 470 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 500 6 250 2 500 6 250
Free State / Vrystaat 290 000 420 500 357 000 499 800
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 700 1 400 300 750
KwaZulu-Natal 300 600
Mpumalanga 5 000 7 250 3 500 5 250
Limpopo 100 000 80 000 110 000 77 000
Gauteng 2 200 2 860 2 400 3 000
North West / Noordwes 155 000 224 750 195 000 253 500
Total / Totaal 555 700 758 610 670 700 845 550
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 3 750 800 3 000
Free State / Vrystaat 565 000 1 327 750 415 000 912 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 4 300 12 900 3 000 9 000
KwaZulu-Natal 44 000 158 400 39 000 150 000
Mpumalanga 305 000 671 000 300 000 710 000
Limpopo 26 000 88 400 22 500 76 500
Gauteng 48 000 105 600 45 000 99 000
North West / Noordwes 155 000 387 500 100 000 270 000
Total / Totaal 1 148 300 2 755 300 925 300 2 230 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 5 300 2 400 6 000
Free State / Vrystaat 12 300 20 910 19 000 20 900
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 000 4 700 2 000 4 600
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 15 000 21 000 20 000 17 000
Total / Totaal 31 300 51 910 43 400 48 500
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 180 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 450 990 600 1 080
Free State / Vrystaat 14 000 13 300 15 500 13 950
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 360 200 300
KwaZulu-Natal 2 100 3 150 2 300 2 760
Mpumalanga 5 000 7 000 6 000 6 600
Limpopo 8 000 16 000 10 400 18 200
Gauteng 800 880 800 800
North West / Noordwes 6 000 8 400 7 000 8 750
Total / Totaal 36 650 50 260 42 900 52 590
Sorghum
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 5 200 15 600 7 800 20 700
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 100 400 200 740
Mpumalanga 8 500 35 700 9 000 43 650
Limpopo 15 500 34 100 15 000 26 250
Gauteng 100 440 200 800
North West / Noordwes 4 600 11 500 5 000 11 000
Total / Totaal 34 000 97 740 37 200 103 140

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and seventh production forecast (2023) Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2023

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop is 16,410 million tons, which is 0,34% or 55 400 tons more than the 16,354 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for maize is 2,586 million ha and the expected yield is 6,35 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 6,07% or 939 500 tons larger than the 2022 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 83% of the 2023 crop.

The production forecast of white maize remained unchanged at 8,638 million tons. The area estimate for white maize is 1,521 million ha and the expected yield is 5,68 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 7,716 million tons, which is 0,72% or 55 400 tons more than the 7,716 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,065 million ha and the yield is 7,30 t/ha.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is set at 743 610 tons, which is 1,98% or 15 000 tons less than the 758 610 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 555 700 ha, while the expected yield is 1,34 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 2,755 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,148 million ha and the expected yield is 2,40 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop also remained unchanged at 51 910 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 31 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,66 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is now 97 740 tons, which is 2,77% or 2 785 tons less than the 100 525 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 34 000 ha and the expected yield is 2,87 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 50 260 tons, which is 3,50% or 1 700 tons more than the 48 560 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans is 36 650 ha, with an expected yield of 1,37 t/ha.


Please note that the eighth production forecast for summer field crops for 2023 will be released on 27 September 2023.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2023

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is 16,410 miljoen ton, wat 0,34% of 55 400 ton meer is as die 16,354 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir mielies is 2,586 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 6,35 t/ha.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 6,07% of 939 500 ton groter as die 2022-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naam­lik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 83% van die 2023-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is onveranderd gelaat op 8,638 miljoen ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,521 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 5,68 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 7,716 miljoen ton, wat 0,72% of 55 400 ton meer is as die 7,716 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,065 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 7,30 t/ha.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is op 743 610 ton gestel, wat 1,98% of 15 000 ton minder is as die 758 610 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 555 700 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,34 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 2,755 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 1,148 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,40 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 51 910 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 31 300 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,66 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is nou 97 740 ton, wat 2,77% of 2 785 ton minder is as die 100 525 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 34 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,87 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 50 260 ton, wat 3,50% of 1 700 ton meer is as die 48 560 ton van die vorige skat­ting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 36 650 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,37 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die agtste produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2023, op 27 September 2023 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area planted and production estimate  2023  Oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 278 655 472 765 296 950 482 000 -1.92
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 79 965 191 275 81 850 185 000 +3.39
Maize / Mielies 358 620 664 040 378 800 667 000 -0.44

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 358 620 ha, which represents a decrease of 5,33%, compared to the 378 800 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 664 040 tons, which is 0,44% less than the 667 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 48% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 21%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 358 620 ha, wat 'n afname van 5,33% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 378 800 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 664 040 ton, wat 0,44% minder is as die 667 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 48% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 21%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2023   Oppervlakte
Area planted to non-commercial maize: 2000-2023 graph
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2023   Produksie
Production of non-commercial maize: 2000-2023 graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted estimate and first production forecast  2023  Hersiene oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 537 050 2 141 625 566 800 2 110 000 +1.50
Barley / Gars ¹ 104 600 380 020 101 000 302 000 +25.83
Canola 131 200 243 950 123 510 210 000 +16.17
Oats / Hawer ¹ 30 000 60 200 27 000 27 550 +118.51
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 16 000 19 200 21 000 15 750 +21.90

¹ Commercial only. Excluding barley or oats used as pasture, silage, hay and/or on the farm as fodder for livestock.
¹ Slegs kommersieël. Uitgesluit gars of hawer wat gebruik word as weiding, kuilvoer, hooi en/of op die plaas as voer vir vee.

Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted estimate and first production forecast  2023  Hersiene oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 365 000 1 095 000 360 000 918 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 40 000 310 000 47 000 338 500
Free State / Vrystaat 71 000 340 800 96 000 436 800
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 6 400 41 600 6 000 40 200
KwaZulu-Natal 8 500 56 100 9 200 60 730
Mpumalanga 4 200 28 560 4 000 27 600
Limpopo 30 000 195 000 29 000 187 000
Gauteng 950 6 365 1 100 7 370
North West / Noordwes 11 000 68 200 14 500 93 800
Total / Totaal 537 050 2 141 625 566 800 2 110 000
Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Wheat production over the years 2010-2023 graph
Barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Barley production over the years 2010-2023 graph
Canola
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Canola production over the years 2010-2023 graph

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and first production forecast for 2023 / Hersiene oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting vir 2023

Winter cereal crops – 2023

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 2,142 million tons, which is 1,50% or 31 625 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 2,110 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,99 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,095 million tons (51%), which is 177 000 tons more than the 918 000 tons produced in the previous season. In the Free State, the expected production is 340 800 tons (16%), which is 96 000 tons less than the previous seasons' crop of 436 800 tons. In the Northern Cape, 310 000 tons (14%) is expected to be produced – 28 500 tons less than the 338 500 tons produced in the previous season.

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 537 050 ha, which is 4 750 ha more than the 532 300 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 365 000 ha or 68% is planted in the Western Cape, 71 000 ha or 13% in the Free State and 40 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for barley is 380 020 tons, which is 25,83% or 78 020 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 302 000 tons. The area planted is estimated at 104 600 ha, while the expected yield is 3,63 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 243 950 tons, which is 16,17% or 33 950 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 210 000 tons. The area estimate for canola is 131 200 ha, with an expected yield of 1,86 t/ha.

The expected crop for oats for the 2023 season is 60 200 tons and the revised area planted is 30 000 ha. The expected yield is 2,01 t/ha.

In the case of sweet lupines, the production forecast is 19 200 tons. The area estimate of sweet lupines is 16 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,20 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for winter cereals for 2023 will be released on 27 September 2023.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2023

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 2,142 miljoen ton, wat 1,50% of 31 625 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 2,110 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,99 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,095 miljoen ton (51%), wat 177 000 ton meer is as die 918 000 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 340 800 ton (16%), wat 96 000 ton minder is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 436 800 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die beraamde produksie 310 000 ton (14%) – 28 500 ton minder as die 338 500 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 537 050 ha, wat 4 750 ha meer is as die 532 300 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 365 000 ha of 68%, die Vrystaat is 71 000 ha of 13% en 40 000 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir gars is 380 020 ton, wat 25,83% of 78 020 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 302 000 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 104 600 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,63 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 243 950 ton, wat 16,17% of 33 950 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 210 000 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 131 200 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,86 t/ha.

Die verwagte oes vir hawer vir die 2023-seisoen is 60 200 ton en die hersiene oppervlakteskatting is 30 000 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,01 t/ha.

In die geval van soetlupine is die produksieskatting 19 200 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met soetlupine is 16 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,20 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2023 op 27 September 2023 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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