Fifth production forecast for 2023 winter cereals
Vyfde produksieskatting vir 2023 wintergewasse
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change / Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
| Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
| Wheat / Koring | 537 950 | 2 151 625 | 2 151 625 | 566 800 | 2 110 000 | – |
| Barley / Gars ¹ | 107 600 | 360 220 | 360 220 | 101 000 | 302 000 | – |
| Canola | 131 200 | 237 450 | 237 450 | 123 510 | 210 000 | – |
| Oats / Hawer ¹ | 27 500 | 36 200 | 36 200 | 27 000 | 27 550 | – |
| Sweet lupins / Soetlupine | 16 000 | 16 800 | 16 800 | 21 000 | 15 750 | – |
¹ Commercial only. Excluding barley or oats used as pasture, silage, hay and/or on the farm as fodder for livestock.
¹ Slegs kommersieël. Uitgesluit gars of hawer wat gebruik word as weiding, kuilvoer, hooi en/of op die plaas as voer vir vee.
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 365 000 | 1 131 500 | 360 000 | 918 000 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 40 000 | 310 000 | 47 000 | 338 500 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 72 000 | 309 600 | 96 000 | 436 800 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 6 300 | 40 950 | 6 000 | 40 200 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 8 500 | 56 950 | 9 200 | 60 730 |
| Mpumalanga | 4 200 | 28 560 | 4 000 | 27 600 |
| Limpopo | 30 000 | 199 500 | 29 000 | 187 000 |
| Gauteng | 950 | 6 365 | 1 100 | 7 370 |
| North West / Noordwes | 11 000 | 68 200 | 14 500 | 93 800 |
| Total / Totaal | 537 950 | 2 151 625 | 566 800 | 2 110 000 |
Production 2014-2023 Produksie
Production 2014-2023 Produksie
Production 2014-2023 Produksie
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast for 2023 / Oppervlakteskatting en vyfde produksieskatting vir 2023
Winter cereal crops – 2023
Wheat
The production forecast for wheat is 2,152 million tons, which is the same as the previous month's forecast. The area planted is estimated at 537 950 ha, while the expected yield is 4,00 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,131 million tons (53%), in the Northern Cape 310 000 tons (14%) and in the Free State 309 600 tons (14%).
The estimated area estimate for wheat in the Western Cape is 365 000 ha or 68%, 72 000 ha or 13% in the Free State and 40 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.
Other crops
The production forecast for barley remained unchanged at 360 220 tons. The area planted is estimated at 107 600 ha, while the expected yield is 3,35 t/ha.
The expected canola crop remained unchanged at 237 450 tons. The area estimate for canola is 131 200 ha, with an expected yield of 1,81 t/ha.
The expected crop for oats for the 2023 season is 36 200 tons and the area planted is 27 500 ha. The expected yield is 1,32 t/ha.
In the case of sweet lupines, the production forecast is 16 800 tons, which is also the same as the previous month's forecast. The area estimate of sweet lupines is 16 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,05 t/ha.
Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2023 will be released on 30 January 2024.
Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Wintergewasse – 2023
Koring
Die produksieskatting vir koring is 2,152 miljoen ton, wat dieselfde is as die vorige maand se skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 537 950 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,00 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,131 miljoen ton (53%), in die Noord-Kaap 310 000 ton en in die Vrystaat 309 600 ton (14%).
Die geraamde oppervlakteskatting vir koring in die Wes-Kaap is 365 000 ha of 68%, 72 000 ha of 13% in die Vrystaat en 40 000 ha of 7% in die Noord-Kaap.
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting vir gars is onveranderd gelaat op 360 220 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 107 600 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,35 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte canola-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 237 450 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 131 200 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,81 t/ha.
Die verwagte oes vir hawer vir die 2023-seisoen is 36 200 ton en die oppervlakteskatting is 27 500 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,32 t/ha.
In die geval van soetlupine is die produksieskatting 16 800 ton, wat ook dieselfde is as die vorige maand se skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met soetlupine is 16 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,05 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2023 op 30 Januarie 2024 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.