Eighth production forecast for summer crops, production estimate for non-commercial maize and second production forecast for winter cereals (2020)
Agtste produksieskatting vir somergewasse, voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting vir nie-kommersiële mielies en tweede produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2020)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 616 300 8 801 760 9 002 910 1 298 400 5 545 000 -2.23
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 994 500 6 620 360 6 534 060 1 002 100 5 730 000 +1.32
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 610 800 15 422 120 15 536 970 2 300 500 11 275 000 -0.74
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 500 300 785 910 785 910 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 705 000 1 261 250 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone 37 500 50 080 50 920 20 050 19 400 -1.65
Sorghum 42 500 150 885 145 610 50 500 127 000 +3.62
Dry beans / Droëbone 50 150 64 800 64 800 59 300 66 355
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 297 460 543 545 543 545 296 000 549 180
Maize: Commercial + Non-commercial maize / Mielies: Kommersieël + Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize RSA Totaal mielies 2 908 260 15 965 665 16 080 515 2 596 500 11 824 180 -0.71

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/2020 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/2020 = 2020

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
White maize production: 2010-2020 graph
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Yellow maize production: 2010-2020 graph
Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Total maize production: 2010-2020 graph
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 100 46 500 40 460 629 260 669 720 3 400 43 500 46 900 39 500 630 750 670 250
Free State / Vrystaat
855 000 365 000 1 220 000 4 788 000 2 153 500 6 941 500 650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 758 000 4 553 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 500 17 000 22 500 35 750 119 000 154 750 3 800 10 200 14 000 23 000 69 750 92 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 55 000 102 000 310 200 434 500 744 700 45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 399 600 669 600
Mpumalanga
160 000 353 000 513 000 896 000 2 294 500 3 190 500 145 000 338 000 483 000 797 500 1 977 300 2 774 800
Limpopo
15 000 18 000 33 000 105 000 126 000 231 000 12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200
Gauteng
55 000 50 000 105 000 319 000 320 000 639 000 48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 348 000 607 200
North West / Noordwes
475 000 90 000 565 000 2 303 750 513 000 2 816 750 390 000 95 000 485 000 1 274 000 399 000 1 673 000
Total / Totaal
1 616 300 994 500 2 610 800 8 801 760 6 620 360 15 422 120 1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 545 000 5 730 000 11 275 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 1 440 950 1 140
Free State / Vrystaat 260 000 442 000 270 000 391 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 750 100 260
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 2 800 3 920 4 500 4 500
Limpopo 65 000 65 000 61 000 61 000
Gauteng 4 000 5 600 3 800 3 800
North West / Noordwes 167 000 267 200 175 000 215 800
Total / Totaal 500 300 785 910 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 1 550 5 425
Free State / Vrystaat 315 000 535 500 301 000 391 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 500 3 000 1 150 1 380
KwaZulu-Natal 35 000 101 500 33 000 99 000
Mpumalanga 260 000 416 000 310 000 511 500
Limpopo 15 500 48 050 16 200 46 980
Gauteng 36 000 70 200 31 500 66 150
North West / Noordwes 40 000 80 000 36 000 48 600
Total / Totaal 705 000 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 580 1 200 2 520
Free State / Vrystaat 11 000 15 400 8 000 9 775
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 900 5 220 1 850 3 530
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 22 400 26 880 9 000 3 575
Total / Totaal 37 500 50 080 20 050 19 400
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 350 700 1 000 1 400
Free State / Vrystaat 24 000 30 000 27 000 28 350
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 300 400 720
KwaZulu-Natal 2 900 3 480 3 500 4 025
Mpumalanga 6 600 8 250 7 500 6 750
Limpopo 8 400 13 440 7 800 12 480
Gauteng 600 780 1 500 1 950
North West / Noordwes 7 000 7 700 10 500 10 500
Total / Totaal 50 150 64 800 59 300 66 355
Sorghum
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 34 400 8 000 23 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 1 200 3 600 500 1 500
Mpumalanga 8 500 45 050 7 500 36 000
Limpopo 16 000 38 400 25 000 46 125
Gauteng 300 960 1 000 3 200
North West / Noordwes 8 500 28 475 8 500 16 575
Total / Totaal 42 500 150 885 50 500 127 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and eighth production forecast (2020) Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2020

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,422 million tons, which is 0,74% or 114 850 tons less than the previous forecast of 15,537 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,611 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,91 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 37% bigger than the 2019 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 84% of the 2020 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,616 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 994 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,802 million tons, which is 2,23% or 201 150 tons less than the 9,003 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,45 t/ha. The production forecast of yellow maize is 6,620 million tons, which is 1,32% or 86 300 tons more than the 6,534 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,66 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 785 910 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 500 300 ha, while the expected yield is 1,57 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans also remained unchanged at 1,261 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 705 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,79 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop is 50 080 tons, which is 1,65% or 840 ton less than the previous forecast of 50 920 tons. The area estimate is 37 500 ha, with an expected yield of 1,34 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 150 885 tons, which is 3,62% or 5 275 tons more than the 145 610 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,55 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 64 800. The area estimate of dry beans is 50 150 ha, with an expected yield of 1,29 t/ha.


Please note that the ninth production forecast for summer field crops for 2020 will be released on 28 October 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2020

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,422 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,74% of 114 850 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 15,537 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,611 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,91 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 37% groter as die 2019-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 84% van die 2020-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,616 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 994 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,802 miljoen ton, wat 2,23% of 201 150 ton minder is as die 9,003 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,45 t/ha. Die produksieskatting van geelmielies is 6,620 miljoen ton, wat 1,32% of 86 300 ton meer as die 6,534 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,66 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is on­veranderd gelaat op 785 910 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 500 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,57 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook onveranderd gelaat op 1,261 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 705 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,79 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 50 080 ton, wat 1,65% of 840 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 50 920 ton. Die opper­vlakte­skatting is 37 500 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,34 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 150 885 ton, wat 3,62% of 5 275 ton meer is as die 145 610 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,55 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 64 800 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 50 150 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,29 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die negende produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2020, op 28 Oktober 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2020  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 221 945 375 295 221 300 379 460 -1.10
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 75 515 168 250 74 700 169 720 -0.87
Maize / mielies 297 460 543 545 296 000 549 180 -1.03

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 297 460 ha, which represents a slight increase of 0,49%, compared to the 296 000 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 543 545 tons, which is 1,03% less than the 549 180 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 27%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 297 460 ha, wat 'n effense toename van 0,49 % verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 296 000 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 543 545 ton, wat 1,03% minder is as die 549 180 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 27%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2020   Oppervlakte
Graph of non-commercial maize area (2000-2020)
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2020   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production (2000-2020) graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted estimate and second production forecast  2020  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 509 800 2 024 030 1 962 230 540 000 1 535 000 +3.15
Malting barley / Moutgars 141 690 520 106 505 215 131 960 345 000 +2.95
Canola 74 120 126 520 122 820 74 000 95 000 +3.01
Cereal oats / Hawermout 26 200 44 900 45 500 21 000 16 500 -1.32
Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted estimate and second production forecast  2020  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 978 000 325 000 650 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 37 000 277 500 37 500 262 500
Free State / Vrystaat 94 000 441 800 128 000 326 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 4 000 24 800 3 100 18 150
KwaZulu-Natal 7 800 47 580 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 000 19 500 4 000 25 200
Limpopo 23 000 138 000 20 000 120 000
Gauteng 1 300 7 800 1 400 8 400
North West / Noordwes 13 700 89 050 13 500 79 000
Total / Totaal 509 800 2 024 030 540 000 1 535 000

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2020 / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2020.

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to wheat (2010-2020)
Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to malting barley (2010-2020)
Canola
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to canola (2010-2020)

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast for 2020 / Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir 2020

Winter cereal crops – 2020

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 2,024 million tons, which is 3,15% or 61 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,962 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,97 t/ha. This is the largest expected wheat crop since the 2,130 million tons of the 2008 season.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 978 000 tons (48%), in the Free State 441 800 tons (22%) and in the Northern Cape 277 500 tons (14%).

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 509 800 ha, which is 6 000 ha less than the 515 800 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 326 000 ha or 64% is planted in the Western Cape, 94 000 ha or 18% in the Free State and 37 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 520 106 tons, which is 2,95% or 14 891 tons more than the previous forecast of 505 215 tons. The area planted is estimated at 141 690 ha, while the expected yield is 3,67 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 126 520 tons, which is 3,01% or 3 700 tons more than the previous forecast of 122 820 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 120 ha, with an expected yield of 1,71 t/ha.

The expected oats (cereals) crop for 2020 is 44 900 tons. The revised area estimate is 26 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,71 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for winter cereals for 2020 will be released on 28 October 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2020

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 2,024 miljoen ton, wat 3,15% of 61 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,962 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,97 t/ha is. Hierdie is die grootste verwagte koring-oes sedert the 2,130 miljoen ton van die 2008 seisoen.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 978 000 ton (48%), in die Vrystaat 441 800 ton (22%) en in die Noord-Kaap 277 500 ton (14%).

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 509 800 ha, wat 6 000 ha laer is as die 515 800 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 326 000 ha of 64%, die Vrystaat is 94 000 ha of 18% en 37 000 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 520 106 ton, wat 2,95% of 14 891 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 505 215 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 141 690 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,67 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 126 520 ton, wat 3,01% of 3 700 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 122 820 ton. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir canola is 74 120 ha, met ʼn verwagte opbrengs van 1,71 t/ha.

Die verwagte hawer-oes (ontbytgraan) vir die 2020-seisoen is 44 900 ton. Die hersiene oppervlakteskatting is 26 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,71 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2020 op 28 Oktober 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.