Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 29 May 2018

The area planted estimate and fourth production forecast for summer crops for 2018

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 268 100 6 701 260 6 629 660 1 643 100 9 916 000 +1.1
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 050 750 6 207 350 6 197 150 985 500 6 904 000 +0.2
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 318 850 12 908 610 12 826 810 2 628 600 16 820 000 +0.6
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 601 500 792 255 792 255 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 787 200 1 430 300 1 430 300 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 68 400 80 600 56 000 92 050 -15.1
Sorghum 28 800 83 070 84 750 42 350 152 000 -2.0
Dry beans / Droëbone 53 360 65 610 65 610 45 050 68 525
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
  Total maize / Totaal mielies 314 835 593 975 593 975 366 650 731 000
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 2 633 685 13 502 585 13 420 785 2 995 250 17 551 000 +0.6

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2008-2018   Produksie
White maize production from 2008 to 2018

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2008-2018   Produksie
Yellow maize production from 2008 to 2018
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Fourth forecast / Vierde skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 600 43 000 46 600 41 760 636 400 678 160 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 445 400 2 070 500 5 515 900 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 292 500 390 000 682 500 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 840 000 2 040 000 2 880 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 86 400 147 000 233 400 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 378 200 668 200 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
370 000 110 000 480 000 1 683 500 440 000 2 123 500 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 701 260 6 207 350 12 908 610 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 600 1 920 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 314 000 455 300 330 000 478 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 36 000 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 5 500 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 233 000 291 250 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 601 500 792 255 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 800 1 200 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 9 900 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 517 500 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 310 000 604 500 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 55 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 60 000 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 36 000 55 800 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 787 200 1 430 300 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 7 000 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 26 400 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 3 500 7 000 3 000 4 800
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 28 000 28 000 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 68 400 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 26 000 28 600 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 000 3 600 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 7 000 9 800 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 7 500 11 250 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 53 360 65 610 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 18 270 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 500 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 36 000 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 6 000 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 500 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 8 000 16 800 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 28 800 83 070 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast (2018)  May 29 Mei 2018  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,909 million tons, which is 0,64% or 81 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 12,827 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,57 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 23% smaller than the 2017 crop, which was the highest crop ever (16,820 million tons). The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 81% of the 2018 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,701 million tons, which is 1,08% or 71 600 tons more than the 6,630 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,28 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,207 million tons, which is 0,16% or 10 200 tons more than the 6,197 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,91 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Free State and North West provinces was based on scientific and objective results provided by the Agricultural Research Council (ARC).

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 792 255 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 601 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,32 t/ha.

Other crops:

The production forecast for soybeans also remained unchanged at 1,430 million tons, which is the largest soybean crop produced in the history of SA. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 787 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,82 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop was decreased by 15,14% or 12 200 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 56 300 ha and the expected yield is 1,21 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum was also adjusted down­wards by 1,98% or 1 680 tons, from 84 750 tons to 83 070 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 28 800 ha. The expected yield is 2,88 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 65 610 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,23 t/ha.


Please note that the fifth production forecast for summer field crops for 2018 will be released on 27 June 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,909 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,64% of 81 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 12,827 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,57 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 23% kleiner as die 2017-oes, wat die grootste oes nog ooit was (16,820 miljoen ton). Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 81% van die 2018-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,701 miljoen ton, wat 1,08% of 71 600 ton meer is as die 6,630 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,28 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,207 miljoen ton, wat 0,16% of 10 200 ton meer is as die 6,197 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,91 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 792 255 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 601 500 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,32 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse:

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook onveranderd gelaat op 1,430 miljoen ton, wat die grootste sojaboon-oes is wat nόg geproduseer is in die geskiedenis van SA. Die geskatte opper­vlakte beplant met sojabone is 787 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,82 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is afwaarts aangepas met 15,14% of 12 200 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 56 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,21 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook afwaarts aangepas met 1,98% of 1 680 ton, vanaf 84 750 ton na 83 070 ton. Die opper­vlakte beplant met sorghum is 28 800 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,88 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 65 610 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,23 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2018, op 27 Junie 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 236 644 414 162 248 500 463 600 -10.66
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 78 191 179 813 118 150 267 400 -32.76
Maize / Mielies 314 835 593 975 366 650 731 000 -18.74

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 314 835 ha, which represents a decrease of 14,13%, compared to the 366 650 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 593 975 tons, which is 18,74% less than the 731 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 314 835 ha, wat 'n afname van 14,13% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 366 650 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 593 975 ton, wat 18,74% minder is as die 731 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2018   Oppervlakte
Area planted with non-commercial maize from 2000 until 2018

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2018   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production from 2000 until 2018

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