Sixth production forecast for summer crops, production estimate for non-commercial maize and preliminary area estimate for winter cereals (2020)
Sesde produksieskatting vir somergewasse, voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting vir nie-kommersiële mielies en voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse (2020)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 616 300 9 106 160 9 074 860 1 298 400 5 545 000 +0.34
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 994 500 6 438 950 6 438 950 1 002 100 5 730 000
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 610 800 15 545 110 15 513 810 2 300 500 11 275 000 +0.20
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 500 300 765 960 765 960 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 705 000 1 261 250 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone 37 500 52 140 52 140 20 050 19 400
Sorghum 42 500 135 260 133 660 50 500 127 000 +1.20
Dry beans / Droëbone 50 150 64 800 68 860 59 300 66 355 -5.90
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 297 460 543 545 543 545 296 000 549 180
Maize: Commercial + Non-commercial maize / Mielies: Kommersieël + Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize RSA Totaal mielies 2 908 260 16 088 655 16 057 355 2 596 500 11 824 180 +0.19

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/2020 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/2020 = 2020

Total maize
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Graph of total maize production (2020-2020)
White maize
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Graph of white maize production (2020-2020)
Yellow maize
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Graph of yellow maize production (2020-2020)
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 100 46 500 40 460 624 950 665 410 3 400 43 500 46 900 39 500 630 750 670 250
Free State / Vrystaat
855 000 365 000 1 220 000 4 959 000 2 080 500 7 039 500 650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 758 000 4 553 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 500 17 000 22 500 35 750 119 000 154 750 3 800 10 200 14 000 23 000 69 750 92 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 55 000 102 000 319 600 429 000 748 600 45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 399 600 669 600
Mpumalanga
160 000 353 000 513 000 928 000 2 223 900 3 151 900 145 000 338 000 483 000 797 500 1 977 300 2 774 800
Limpopo
15 000 18 000 33 000 106 500 126 000 232 500 12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200
Gauteng
55 000 50 000 105 000 338 250 310 000 648 250 48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 348 000 607 200
North West / Noordwes
475 000 90 000 565 000 2 375 000 495 000 2 870 000 390 000 95 000 485 000 1 274 000 399 000 1 673 000
Total / Totaal
1 616 300 994 500 2 610 800 9 106 160 6 438 950 15 545 110 1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 545 000 5 730 000 11 275 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 1 440 950 1 140
Free State / Vrystaat 260 000 442 000 270 000 391 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 750 100 260
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 2 800 3 920 4 500 4 500
Limpopo 65 000 61 750 61 000 61 000
Gauteng 4 000 5 600 3 800 3 800
North West / Noordwes 167 000 250 500 175 000 215 800
Total / Totaal 500 300 765 960 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 1 550 5 425
Free State / Vrystaat 315 000 535 500 301 000 391 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 500 3 000 1 150 1 380
KwaZulu-Natal 35 000 101 500 33 000 99 000
Mpumalanga 260 000 416 000 310 000 511 500
Limpopo 15 500 48 050 16 200 46 980
Gauteng 36 000 70 200 31 500 66 150
North West / Noordwes 40 000 80 000 36 000 48 600
Total / Totaal 705 000 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 700 1 200 2 520
Free State / Vrystaat 11 000 17 050 8 000 9 775
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 900 5 510 1 850 3 530
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 22 400 26 880 9 000 3 575
Total / Totaal 37 500 52 140 20 050 19 400
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 350 700 1 000 1 400
Free State / Vrystaat 24 000 30 000 27 000 28 350
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 300 400 720
KwaZulu-Natal 2 900 3 480 3 500 4 025
Mpumalanga 6 600 8 250 7 500 6 750
Limpopo 8 400 13 440 7 800 12 480
Gauteng 600 780 1 500 1 950
North West / Noordwes 7 000 7 700 10 500 10 500
Total / Totaal 50 150 64 800 59 300 66 355
Sorghum
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 32 000 8 000 23 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 1 200 3 000 500 1 500
Mpumalanga 8 500 42 500 7 500 36 000
Limpopo 16 000 29 600 25 000 46 125
Gauteng 300 960 1 000 3 200
North West / Noordwes 8 500 27 200 8 500 16 575
Total / Totaal 42 500 135 260 50 500 127 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and sixth production forecast (2020) Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2020

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,545 million tons, which is 0,20% or 31 300 tons more than the previous forecast of 15,514 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,611 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,95 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 38% bigger than the 2019 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpuma­langa and North West provinces are expected to produce 84% of the 2020 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,616 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 994 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,106 million tons, which is 0,34% or 31 300 tons more than the 9,075 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,63 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast remained unchanged at 6,439 million tons. The yield for yellow maize is 6,47 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 765 960 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 500 300 ha, while the expected yield is 1,53 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1,261 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 705 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,79 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 52 140 tons. The area estimate is 37 500 ha, with an expected yield of 1,39 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 135 260 tons, which is 1,20% or 1 600 tons more than the 133 660 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,18 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 64 800, which is 5,90% or 4 060 tons less than the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans is 50 150 ha, with an expected yield of 1,29 t/ha.


Please note that the seventh production forecast for summer field crops for 2020 will be released on 27 August 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2020

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,545 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,20% of 31 300 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 15,514 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,611 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,95 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 38% groter as die 2019-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 84% van die 2020-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,616 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 994 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is is 9,106 miljoen ton, wat 0,34% of 31 300 ton meer is as die ton 9,075 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,63 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 6,439 miljoen ton. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,47 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 765 960 ton, onveranderd teenoor die vorige skatting. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 500 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,53 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 1,261 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 705 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,79 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 52 140 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 37 500 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,39 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 135 260 ton, wat 1,20% of 1 600 ton meer is as die 133 660 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,18 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 64 800 ton, wat 5,90% of 4 060 ton minder is as die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 50 150 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,29 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sewende produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2020, op 27 Augustus 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2020  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 221 945 375 295 221 300 379 460 -1.10
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 75 515 168 250 74 700 169 720 -0.87
Maize / mielies 297 460 543 545 296 000 549 180 -1.03

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 297 460 ha, which represents a slight increase of 0,49%, compared to the 296 000 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 543 545 tons, which is 1,03% less than the 549 180 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 27%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 297 460 ha, wat 'n effense toename van 0,49 % verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 296 000 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 543 545 ton, wat 1,03% minder is as die 549 180 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 27%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2020   Oppervlakte
Graph of non-commercial maize area (2000-2020)
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2020   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production (2000-2020) graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area planted estimate  2020  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions¹
Voorneme¹
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 Mid April 2020 2019 2019
Ha Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 517 000 495 000 540 000 1 535 000 -4.26
Malting barley / Moutgars 132 760 137 000 131 960 345 080 +0.61
Canola 71 120 72 000 74 000 95 000 -3.89
Cereal oats / Hawermout 23 000 23 500 21 000 16 000 +9.52

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2020 / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2020.

Wheat / Koring
Preliminary area planted estimate  2020  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions¹
Voorneme¹
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 320 000 325 000 650 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 500 35 500 37 500 262 500
Free State / Vrystaat 105 000 90 000 128 000 326 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 500 3 200 3 100 18 150
KwaZulu-Natal 7 800 7 800 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 3 500 4 000 25 200
Limpopo 21 000 21 000 20 000 120 000
Gauteng 1 000 1 000 1 400 8 400
North West / Noordwes 13 700 13 000 13 500 79 000
Total / Totaal 517 000 495 000 540 000 1 535 000

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2020 / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2020.

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to wheat (2010-2020)
Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to malting barley (2010-2020)
Canola
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to canola (2010-2020)

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2020 / Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting van wintergewasse vir 2020

Winter cereal crops – 2020

The preliminary area estimate is based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis from the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development, and reflects the position as at the middle of July 2020, as well as inputs from the PDA repre­sentatives. Please note that the information from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), as conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), for the Western Cape will be available in August 2020 and for the Free State in September 2020.

Wheat

The preliminary area estimate for wheat is 517 000 ha, which is 4,26% or 23 000 ha less than the 540 000 ha planted for the previous season.

An estimated 326 000 ha is planted in the Western Cape, which is 1 000 ha more than the 325 000 ha planted for the previous season. In the Free State, 105 000 ha is planted, which is 23 000 ha less than the 128 000 ha planted for the previous season. The area planted in the Northern Cape is 35 500 ha, which is 2 000 ha less than the previous season.

Other crops

The preliminary area estimate for malting barley is 132 760 ha, which is 0,61% or 800 ha more than the 131 960 ha of last season.

The area planted to canola is 71 120 ha, which is 3,89% or 2 880 ha less than the 74 000 ha planted for the previous season.

The preliminary area estimate for oats for the 2020 season is 23 000 ha.


Please note that the revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for winter cereals for 2020 will be released on 27 August 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2020

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statis­tiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Grondhervorming en Landelike Ontwikkeling, en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Julie 2020, sowel as insette van die PDL verteenwoordigers. Let wel, inligting van die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel ("PICES"), soos gedoen deur die Nasionale Oesskattings­konsortium, sal vir die Wes-Kaap in Augustus 2020 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat in September 2020.

Koring

Die voorlopige skatting van die oppervlakte onder koring beloop 517 000 ha, wat 4,26% of 23 000 ha minder is as die 540 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Die beraamde oppervlakte beplant in die Wes-Kaap is 326 000 ha, wat 1 000 ha meer is as die 325 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Vir die Vrystaat is die aanplantings 105 000 ha, wat 23 000 ha minder is as die 128 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Die oppervlakte beplant in die Noord-Kaap is 35 500 ha, wat 2 000 ha minder is as die vorige seisoen.

Ander gewasse

Die voorlopige oppervlakskatting vir moutgars is 132 760 ha, wat 0,61% of 800 ha meer is as die 131 960 ha van verlede seisoen.

Die oppervlakte onder canola is 71 120 ha, wat 3,89% of 2 880 ha minder is as die 74 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir hawer vir die 2020-seisoen is 23 000 ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die hersiene oppervlakte beplant en eerste produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2020 op 27 Augustus 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.