Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 November 2017

Area planted and fourth production forecast for winter cereals / Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse

Index of 28 November Indeks

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted estimate and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 491 600 1 581 250 1 655 250 508 365 1 910 000 -4.47
  Malting barley / Moutgars 91 380 281 059 281 059 88 695 355 000
Canola 84 000 96 600 100 800 68 075 105 000 -4.17
Total / Totaal 666 980 1 958 909 2 037 109 665 135 2 370 000 -3.84

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2017

Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 684 600 323 000 1 098 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 304 000 35 000 266 000
Free State / Vrystaat 80 000 304 000 110 000 308 460
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 900 9 500 2 200 11 000
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 42 750 6 500 37 050
Mpumalanga 4 000 25 200 2 300 13 800
Limpopo 20 000 126 000 17 000 103 700
Gauteng 700 4 200 365 2 190
North West / Noordwes 13 500 81 000 12 000 69 600
Total / Totaal 491 600 1 581 250 508 365 1 910 000

Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph showing production of wheat from 2000 to 2017 in the Western Cape, South Africa

Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph depicting production of wheat in the Northern Cape from 2000 to 2017 in South Africa

Free State / Vrystaat
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph showing production of wheat from 2000 to 2017 in the Free State, South Africa

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast of winter crops  28 November 2017  Oppervlakteskatting en derde produksieskatting van wintergewasse

2017 production season

Wheat: The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,581 million tons, which is 4,5% or 74 000 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,655 million tons, mainly because the main wheat producing province, namely the Western Cape, experiences dry­ness. The area estimate for wheat is 491 600 ha, whilst the expected yield is 3,22 t/ha.

The largest decline in production occurred in the Western Cape, namely 8,7% or 65 200 tons, followed by the Free State by 5,0% or 16 000 tons. Thus, the expected production in the Western Cape is 684 600 tons (43%), whereas the Free State and Northern Cape provinces are both expected to produce 304 000 tons (19%).

Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 281 059 tons. The area planted with malting barley is 91 380 ha and the expected yield is 3,08 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 96 600 tons, which is 4,2% or 4 200 tons less than the previous forecast of 100 800 tons. The area estimate for canola is 84 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,15 t/ha.


Please note that the fifth production forecast for winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 19 December 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

2017 produksieseisoen

Koring: Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,581 miljoen ton, wat 4,5% of 74 000 ton minder is as die vorige skat­ting van 1,655 miljoen ton, hoofsaaklik omdat die grootste koring­produserende provinsie, naamlik die Wes-Kaap, droogte ervaar. Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 491 600 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,22 t/ha is.

Die grootste afname in produksie het in die Wes-Kaap plaas­gevind, naamlik 8,7% of 65 200 ton, gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 5,0% of 16 000 ton. Dus is die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap 684 600 ton (43%), terwyl die Vrystaat en Noord-Kaap provinsies albei verwag om 304 000 ton (19%) te produseer.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onver­anderd gelaat op 281 059 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met moutgars is 91 380 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,08 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 96 600 ton, wat 4,2% of 4 200 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 100 800 ton. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir canola is 84 000 ha, met ʼn verwagte opbrengs van 1,15 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2017 op 19 Desember 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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