Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 March 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 8 513 200 8 312 950 1 014 750 3 408 500 +2.41
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 5 810 300 5 605 500 932 000 4 370 000 +3.65
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 14 323 500 13 918 450 1 946 750 7 778 500 +2.91
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 896 060 928 620 718 500 755 000 -3.51
Soybeans / Sojabone 573 950 1 162 425 1 070 495 502 800 742 000 +8.59
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 000 86 600 88 175 22 600 17 680 -1.79
Sorghum 42 350 153 480 140 950 48 500 70 500 +8.89
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 050 65 275 64 345 34 400 35 445 +1.45
Total / Totaal 3 981 700 16 687 340 16 211 035 3 273 550 9 399 125 +2.94

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing total area planted to maize from 2010 to 2017

Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to sunflower seed from 2010 to 2017

Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to soybeans from 2010 to 2017
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en tweede produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Second forecast / Tweede skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 1 800 18 000 19 800 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 43 750 643 500 687 250 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 4 226 250 1 775 000 6 001 250 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 26 400 57 000 83 400 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 315 000 330 000 645 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 960 000 2 046 000 3 006 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 240 000 148 000 388 800 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 360 000 330 000 690 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 340 000 462 000 2 802 000 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 8 513 200 5 810 300 14 323 500 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 250 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 495 000 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 860 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 90 000 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 150 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 304 500 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 896 060 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 240 000 444 000 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 85 400 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 482 000 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 8 500 27 200 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 63 500 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 46 000 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 573 950 1 162 425 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 33 000 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 000 4 500 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 27 000 35 100 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 56 000 86 600 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 300 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 20 000 28 000 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 7 425 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 7 000 14 000 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 1 950 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 5 500 6 600 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 050 65 275 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Area planted and second production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 26 180 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 600 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 62 400 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 50 400 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 400 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 10 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 153 480 48 500 70 500

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Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and second production forecast  March 28 Maart 2017  Oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 14,324 million tons, which is 2,91% or 405 050 tons more than the previous forecast of 13,918 million tons. The area estimate for maize remained unchanged at 2,629 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,45 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 84% bigger than the 2016 crop, which was the smallest crop since 2007. The three main maize pro­ducing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2017 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,643 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,513 million tons, which is 2,41% or 200 250 tons more than the 8,313 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,18 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,810 million tons, which is 3,65% or 204 800 tons more than the 5,605 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,90 t/ha.

Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the NCSC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2017; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2017. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from pro­ducers in the different provinces, as well as from the IDSS-model (Inter Decision Support System), maintained by the ARC-Institute for Grain Crops Institute.

Sunflower seed

The production forecast for sunflower seed is 896 060 tons, which is 3,51% or 32 560 tons less than the 928 620 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, while the expected yield is 1,41 t/ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for soybeans is 1,162 million tons, which is 8,59% or 91 930 tons more than the 1,070 million tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soy­beans was increased by 8 100 ha to 573 950 ha and the expected yield is 2,03 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop is 86 600 tons, which is 1,79% or 1 575 tons less than the 88 175 tons of the last forecast. For ground­nuts, the area estimate was increased by 3 500 ha to 56 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,55 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 153 480 tons, which is 8,89% or 12 530 tons more than the 140 950 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 350 ha and the expected yield is 3,62 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 65 275 tons, which is 1,45% or 930 tons more than the 64 345 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans was decreased by 500 ha to 45 050 ha, with an expected yield of 1,45 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for summer field crops for 2017 will be released on 25 April 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 14,324 miljoen ton gestel, wat 2,91% of 405 050 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 13,918 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is onveranderd gelaat op 2,629 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,45 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 84% groter as die 2016-oes, wat die kleinste oes was sedert 2007. Die drie belangrikste mieliepro­duserende gebiede, nl. die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 82% van die 2017-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 985 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,513 miljoen ton, 2,41% of 200 250 ton meer is as die 8,313 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,18 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,810 miljoen ton, wat 3,65% of 204 800 ton meer is as die 5,605 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,90 t/ha.

Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die Konsortium vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2017 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2017. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies, asook vanaf die IDSS-model ("Inter Decision Support System"), soos saamgestel deur die LNR-Instituut vir Graangewasse.

Sonneblomsaad

Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 896 060 ton, wat 3,51% of 32 560 ton minder is as die 928 620 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,41 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,162 miljoen ton, wat 8,59% of 91 930 ton meer is as die 1,070 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is verhoog met 8 100 ha na 573 950 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,03 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 86 600 ton, wat 1,79% of 1 575 ton minder is as die 88 175 ton van die vorige skatting. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting verhoog met 3 500 ha na 56 000 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,55 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 153 480 ton, wat 8,89% of 12 530 ton meer is as die 140 950 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 350 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,62 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 65 275 ton, wat 1,45% of 930 ton meer is as die 64 345 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is verminder met 500 ha na 45 050 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,45 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2017, op 25 April 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.