Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 August 2018

Seventh production forecast for 2018 summer crops. Revised area planted and first production forecast for winter cereals.
Sewende produksieskatting vir 2018 somergewasse. Hersiene oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting vir wintergewasse.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 268 100 6 879 960 6 879 960 1 643 100 9 916 000
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 050 750 6 327 350 6 327 350 985 500 6 904 000
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 318 850 13 207 310 13 207 310 2 628 600 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 601 500 858 605 792 255 635 750 874 000 +8.4
Soybeans / Sojabone 787 200 1 550 800 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 52 000 52 000 56 000 92 050
Sorghum 28 800 105 120 83 070 42 350 152 000 +26.5
Dry beans / Droëbone 53 360 65 610 65 610 45 050 68 525
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
  Total maize / Totaal mielies 314 835 593 975 593 975 366 650 731 000
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 2 633 685 13 801 285 13 801 285 2 995 250 17 551 000

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph of sunflower seed production (tons): 2010-2018
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph of soybean production (tons): 2010-2018
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Groundnut production (tons) graph: 2010-2018
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Seventh forecast / Sewende skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 600 43 000 46 600 41 760 636 400 678 160 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 542 000 2 111 500 5 653 500 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 301 500 390 000 691 500 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 854 000 2 108 000 2 962 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 147 000 237 000 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 378 200 668 200 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
370 000 110 000 480 000 1 739 000 451 000 2 190 000 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 879 850 6 327 350 13 207 310 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 600 1 920 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 314 000 486 700 330 000 478 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 36 000 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 5 500 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 233 000 326 200 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 601 500 858 605 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 800 1 200 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 552 000 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 310 000 682 000 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 56 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 61 500 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 36 000 61 200 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 787 200 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 7 000 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 19 800 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 3 500 7 000 3 000 4 800
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 28 000 18 200 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 52 000 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 26 000 28 600 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 000 3 600 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 7 000 9 800 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 7 500 11 250 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 53 360 65 610 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 21 420 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 2 100 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 39 750 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 14 000 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 650 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 8 000 23 200 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 28 800 105 120 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and seventh production forecast (2018)  August 28 Augustus 2018  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop remained unchanged at 13,207 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,70 t/ha.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,880 million tons, whilst the yield is 5,43 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,327 million tons and the yield is 6,02 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed was increased by 8,37% or 66 350 tons to 858 605 tons, with an estimated planted area of 601 500 ha and an expected yield of 1,43 t/ha.

Other crops:

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1,551 million tons, with an estimated planted area of 787 200 ha and an expected yield of 1,97 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop also remained unchanged at 52 000 tons. The area estimate is 56 300 ha and the expected yield is 0,92 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum was increased by 26,54% or 22 050 tons to 105 120 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 28 800 ha. The expected yield is 3,65 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 65 610 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,23 t/ha.

The main reason for the increase in the production forecast for sunflower seed and sorghum is due to larger producer deliveries (as reported by SAGIS), against what the Committee indicated during July 2018.


Please note that the final production forecast for summer field crops for 2018, will be released on 26 September 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 13,207 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,70 t/ha is.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,880 miljoen ton, terwyl die opbrengs 5,43 t/ha is. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,327 miljoen ton, en die opbrengs is 6,02 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is opwaarts aangepas met 8,37% of 66 350 ton na 858 605 ton, met 'n geskatte oppervlakte van 601 500 ha en 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,43 t/ha.

Ander gewasse:

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 1,551 miljoen ton met 'n geskatte oppervlakte van 787 200 ha en 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,97 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 52 000 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 0,92 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is opwaarts aangepas met 26,54% of 22 050 ton na 105 120 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met sorghum is 28 800 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,65 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 65 610 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,23 t/ha.

Die hoofrede vir die toename in die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad en sorghum is as gevolg van groter produsente­lewerings (soos gerapporteer deur SAGIS), teenoor wat die Komitee in Julie 2018 aangedui het.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die finale produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2018, op 26 September 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 236 644 414 162 248 500 463 600 -10.66
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 78 191 179 813 118 150 267 400 -32.76
Maize / Mielies 314 835 593 975 366 650 731 000 -18.74

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 314 835 ha, which represents a decrease of 14,13%, compared to the 366 650 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 593 975 tons, which is 18,74% less than the 731 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 314 835 ha, wat 'n afname van 14,13% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 366 650 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 593 975 ton, wat 18,74% minder is as die 731 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2018   Oppervlakte
Area planted with non-commercial maize from 2000 until 2018

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2018   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production from 2000 until 2018
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Wheat / Koring 508 350 1 808 050 491 600 1 535 000 +17.8
Malting barley / Moutgars 119 000 390 840 91 380 307 000 +27.8
Canola 80 000 112 000 84 000 93 500 +19.8

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Wheat production (tons) graph: 2010-2018

Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph of malting barley production (tons): 2010-2018

Canola
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Canola production graph (tons): 2010-2018
Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 318 000 858 600 326 000 586 800
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 292 600 38 000 311 650
Free State / Vrystaat 105 000 362 250 80 000 336 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 650 10 725 1 900 9 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 000 43 400 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 21 875 4 000 25 400
Limpopo 20 000 124 000 20 000 132 000
Gauteng 1 200 7 800 700 4 200
North West / Noordwes 14 000 86 800 13 500 83 700
Total / Totaal 508 350 1 808 050 491 600 1 535 000

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and first production forecast of winter crops for 2018  August 28 Augustus 2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting van wintergewasse 2018

Winter cereal crops – 2018 production season

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 1,808 million tons, which is 17,79% or 273 050 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 1,535 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,56 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 858 600 tons (47%), which is 271 800 tons more than the 586 800 tons produced in the previous season. In the Free State, the expected production is 362 250 tons (20%), which is 26 250 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 336 000 tons. In the Northern Cape, 292 600 tons (16%) is expected to be produced – 19 050 tons less than the 311 650 tons produced in the previous season.

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 508 350 ha, which is 16 750 ha higher than the 505 000 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 318 000 ha or 63% is planted in the Western Cape, 105 000 ha or 21% in the Free State and 38 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 390 840 tons, which is 27,31% or 83 840 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 307 000 tons. The area planted is estimated at 119 000 ha, while the expected yield is 3,28 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 112 000 tons, which is 19,79% or 18 501 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 93 500 tons. The area estimate for canola is 80 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,40 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for winter cereals for 2018 will be released on 26 September 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2018 produksieseisoen

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,808 miljoen ton, wat 17,79% of 273 050 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 1,535 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,56 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 858 600 ton (47%), wat 271 800 ton meer is as die 586 800 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 362 250 ton (20%), wat 26 250 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 336 000 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die beraamde produksie 292 600 ton (16%) – 19 050 ton minder as die 311 650 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 508 350 ha, wat 16 750 ha hoër is as die 505 000 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 318 000 ha of 63%, die Vrystaat is 105 000 ha of 21% en 38 000 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 390 840 ton, wat 27,31% of 83 840 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 307 000 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 119 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,28 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 112 000 ton, wat 19,79% of 18 501 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 93 500 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 80 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,40 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2018 op 26 September 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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