Seventh production forecast for summer crops, production estimate for non-commercial maize and first production forecast for winter cereals (2020)
Sewende produksieskatting vir somergewasse, voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting vir nie-kommersiële mielies en eerste produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2020)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 616 300 9 002 910 9 106 160 1 298 400 5 545 000 -1.13
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 994 500 6 534 060 6 438 950 1 002 100 5 730 000 +1.48
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 610 800 15 536 970 15 545 110 2 300 500 11 275 000 -0.05
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 500 300 785 910 765 960 515 350 678 000 +2.60
Soybeans / Sojabone 705 000 1 261 250 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone 37 500 50 920 52 140 20 050 19 400 -2.34
Sorghum 42 500 145 610 135 260 50 500 127 000 +7.65
Dry beans / Droëbone 50 150 64 800 64 800 59 300 66 355
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 297 460 543 545 543 545 296 000 549 180
Maize: Commercial + Non-commercial maize / Mielies: Kommersieël + Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize RSA Totaal mielies 2 908 260 16 080 515 16 088 655 2 596 500 11 824 180 -0.05

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/2020 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/2020 = 2020

Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Sunflower seed production (2010-2020) graph
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Soybeans production (2010-2020) graph
Sorghum
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Sorghum production (2010-2020) graph
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 100 46 500 40 460 629 260 669 720 3 400 43 500 46 900 39 500 630 750 670 250
Free State / Vrystaat
855 000 365 000 1 220 000 4 873 500 2 117 000 6 990 500 650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 758 000 4 553 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 500 17 000 22 500 35 750 119 000 154 750 3 800 10 200 14 000 23 000 69 750 92 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 55 000 102 000 319 600 429 000 748 600 45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 399 600 669 600
Mpumalanga
160 000 353 000 513 000 920 000 2 259 200 3 179 200 145 000 338 000 483 000 797 500 1 977 300 2 774 800
Limpopo
15 000 18 000 33 000 105 000 126 000 231 000 12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200
Gauteng
55 000 50 000 105 000 330 000 320 000 650 000 48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 348 000 607 200
North West / Noordwes
475 000 90 000 565 000 2 375 000 504 000 2 879 000 390 000 95 000 485 000 1 274 000 399 000 1 673 000
Total / Totaal
1 616 300 994 500 2 610 800 9 002 910 6 438 950 15 536 970 1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 545 000 5 730 000 11 275 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 1 440 950 1 140
Free State / Vrystaat 260 000 442 000 270 000 391 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 750 100 260
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 2 800 3 920 4 500 4 500
Limpopo 65 000 65 000 61 000 61 000
Gauteng 4 000 5 600 3 800 3 800
North West / Noordwes 167 000 267 200 175 000 215 800
Total / Totaal 500 300 785 910 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 1 550 5 425
Free State / Vrystaat 315 000 535 500 301 000 391 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 500 3 000 1 150 1 380
KwaZulu-Natal 35 000 101 500 33 000 99 000
Mpumalanga 260 000 416 000 310 000 511 500
Limpopo 15 500 48 050 16 200 46 980
Gauteng 36 000 70 200 31 500 66 150
North West / Noordwes 40 000 80 000 36 000 48 600
Total / Totaal 705 000 1 261 250 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 580 1 200 2 520
Free State / Vrystaat 11 000 15 950 8 000 9 775
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 900 5 510 1 850 3 530
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 22 400 26 880 9 000 3 575
Total / Totaal 37 500 50 920 20 050 19 400
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 350 700 1 000 1 400
Free State / Vrystaat 24 000 30 000 27 000 28 350
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 300 400 720
KwaZulu-Natal 2 900 3 480 3 500 4 025
Mpumalanga 6 600 8 250 7 500 6 750
Limpopo 8 400 13 440 7 800 12 480
Gauteng 600 780 1 500 1 950
North West / Noordwes 7 000 7 700 10 500 10 500
Total / Totaal 50 150 64 800 59 300 66 355
Sorghum
Area planted and seventh production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 33 600 8 000 23 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 1 200 3 600 500 1 500
Mpumalanga 8 500 44 200 7 500 36 000
Limpopo 16 000 35 200 25 000 46 125
Gauteng 300 960 1 000 3 200
North West / Noordwes 8 500 28 050 8 500 16 575
Total / Totaal 42 500 145 610 50 500 127 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and seventh production forecast (2020) Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2020

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,537 million tons, which is 0,05% or 8 140 tons less than the previous forecast of 15,545 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,611 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,95 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 38% bigger than the 2019 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 84% of the 2020 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,616 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 994 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,003 million tons, which is 1,13% or 103 250 tons less than the 9,106 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,57 t/ha. The production forecast of yellow maize is 6,534 million tons, which is 1,48% or 95 110 tons more than the 6,439 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,57 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 785 910 tons, which is 2,60% or 19 950 tons more than the previous forecast of 765 960 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 500 300 ha, while the expected yield is 1,57 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1,261 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 705 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,79 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop is 50 920 tons, which is 2,34% or 1 220 ton less than the previous forecast of 52 140 tons. The area estimate is 37 500 ha, with an expected yield of 1,36 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 145 610 tons, which is 7,65% or 10 350 tons more than the 135 260 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,43 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 64 800. The area estimate of dry beans is 50 150 ha, with an expected yield of 1,29 t/ha.


Please note that the eighth production forecast for summer field crops for 2020 will be released on 29 September 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2020

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,537 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,05% of 8 140 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 15,545 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,611 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,95 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 38% groter as die 2019-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 84% van die 2020-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,616 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 994 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9,003 miljoen ton, wat 1,13% of 103 250 ton minder is as die 9,106 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,57 t/ha. Die produksieskatting van geelmielies is 6,534 miljoen ton, wat 1,48% of 95 110 ton meer as die 6,439 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,57 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 785 910 ton, wat 2,60% of 19 950 ton meer is as die 765 960 van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 500 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,57 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 1,261 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 705 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,79 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 50 920, wat 2,34% of 1 220 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 52 140 ton. Die opper­vlak­te­skatting is 37 500 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,36 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 145 610 ton, wat 7,65% of 10 350 ton meer is as die 135 260 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,43 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 64 800 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 50 150 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,29 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die agtste produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2020, op 29 September 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2020  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 221 945 375 295 221 300 379 460 -1.10
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 75 515 168 250 74 700 169 720 -0.87
Maize / mielies 297 460 543 545 296 000 549 180 -1.03

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 297 460 ha, which represents a slight increase of 0,49%, compared to the 296 000 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 543 545 tons, which is 1,03% less than the 549 180 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 27%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 297 460 ha, wat 'n effense toename van 0,49 % verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 296 000 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 543 545 ton, wat 1,03% minder is as die 549 180 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 27%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2020   Oppervlakte
Graph of non-commercial maize area (2000-2020)
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2020   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production (2000-2020) graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted estimate and first production forecast  2020  Oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 515 800 1 962 230 540 000 1 535 000 +27.83
Malting barley / Moutgars 141 690 505 215 131 960 345 000 +46.44
Canola 74 120 122 820 74 000 95 000 +29.28
Cereal oats / Hawermout 27 000 45 500 21 000 16 500 +175.76
Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and first production forecast  2020  Oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 978 000 325 000 650 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 37 000 277 500 37 500 262 500
Free State / Vrystaat 100 000 380 000 128 000 326 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 4 000 24 800 3 100 18 150
KwaZulu-Natal 7 800 47 580 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 000 19 500 4 000 25 200
Limpopo 23 000 138 000 20 000 120 000
Gauteng 1 300 7 800 1 400 8 400
North West / Noordwes 13 700 89 050 13 500 79 000
Total / Totaal 515 800 1 962 230 540 000 1 535 000

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2020 / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2020.

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to wheat (2010-2020)
Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to malting barley (2010-2020)
Canola
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to canola (2010-2020)

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and first production forecast for 2020 / Oppervlakteskatting en eerste produksieskatting vir 2020

Winter cereal crops – 2020

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 1,962 million tons, which is 27,83% or 427 230 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 1,535 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,80 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 978 000 tons (50%), which is 328 000 tons more than the 650 000 tons produced in the previous season. In the Free State, the expected production is 380 000 tons (19%), which is 54 000 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 326 000 tons. In the Northern Cape, 277 500 tons (14%) is expected to be produced – 15 000 tons more than the 262 500 tons produced in the previous season.

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 515 800 ha, which is 1 200 ha less than the 517 000 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 326 000 ha or 63% is planted in the Western Cape, 100 000 ha or 19% in the Free State and 37 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 505 215 tons, which is 46,44% or 160 215 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 345 000 tons. The area planted is estimated at 141 690 ha, while the expected yield is 3,57 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 122 820 tons, which is 29,28% or 27 820 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 95 000 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 120 ha, with an expected yield of 1,66 t/ha.

The revised area estimate for oats (cereals) for the 2020 season is 27 000 ha and the expected crop is 45 500 tons. The expected yield is 1,69 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for winter cereals for 2020 will be released on 29 September 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2020

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,962 miljoen ton, wat 27,83% of 427 230 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 1,535 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,80 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 978 000 ton (50%), wat 328 000 ton meer is as die 650 000 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 380 000 ton (19%), wat 54 000 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 326 000 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die beraamde produksie 277 500 ton (14%) – 15 000 ton meer as die 262 500 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 515 800 ha, wat 1 200 ha laer is as die 517 000 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 326 000 ha of 63%, die Vrystaat is 100 000 ha of 19% en 37 000 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 505 215 ton, wat 46,44% of 160 215 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 345 000 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 141 690 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,57 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 122 820 ton, wat 29,28% of 27 820 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 95 000 ton. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir canola is 74 120 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,66 t/ha.

Die hersiene oppervlakteskatting vir hawer (ontbytgraan) vir die 2020-seisoen is 27 000 ha en die verwagte oes is 45 500 ton. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,69 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2020 op 29 September 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.