Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 26 September 2018

Final production estimate for 2018 summer crops. Revised area planted and second production forecast for winter cereals.
Finale produksieskatting vir 2018 somergewasse. Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir wintergewasse.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 268 100 6 801 560 6 879 960 1 643 100 9 916 000 –1.14
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 050 750 6 129 650 6 327 350 985 500 6 904 000 –3.12
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 318 850 12 931 210 13 207 310 2 628 600 16 820 000 –2.09
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 601 500 858 605 858 605 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 787 200 1 550 800 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 53 750 52 000 56 000 92 050 +3.37
Sorghum 28 800 109 855 105 120 42 350 152 000 +4.50
Dry beans / Droëbone 53 360 69 360 65 610 45 050 68 525 +5.72
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
  Total maize / Totaal mielies 314 835 593 975 593 975 366 650 731 000
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 2 633 685 13 525 185 13 801 285 2 995 250 17 551 000 -2.00

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph of total maize production (tons): 2010-2018
White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
White maize production (tons) graph: 2010-2018
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph - yellow maize production (tons): 2010-2018
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final estimate / Finale skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 600 43 000 46 600 41 760 636 400 678 160 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 477 600 2 009 000 5 486 600 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 301 500 380 000 681 500 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 840 000 2 040 000 2 880 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 147 000 237 000 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 372 000 662 000 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
370 000 110 000 480 000 1 739 000 440 000 2 179 000 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 801 560 6 129 650 12 931 210 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 600 1 920 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 314 000 486 700 330 000 478 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 36 000 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 5 500 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 233 000 326 200 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 601 500 858 605 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 800 1 200 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 552 000 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 310 000 682 000 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 56 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 61 500 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 36 000 61 200 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 787 200 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 7 000 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 19 800 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 3 500 7 350 3 000 4 800
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 28 000 19 600 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 53 750 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 26 000 28 600 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 000 3 600 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 7 000 9 800 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 7 500 15 000 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 53 360 69 360 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Area planted and final production estimate  2018  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 22 680 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 2 100 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 40 125 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 15 500 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 650 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 8 000 24 800 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 28 800 109 855 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate (2018)  August 28 Augustus 2018  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,931 million tons, which is 2,09% or 276 100 tons less than the previous forecast of 13,207 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,58 t/ha.

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,931 million tons, which is 2,09% or 276 100 tons less than the previous forecast of 13,207 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,58 t/ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,802 million tons, which is 1,14% or 78 400 tons less than the 6,880 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,36 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,130 million tons, which is 3,12% or 197 700 tons less than the 6,327 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,83 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 858 605 tons, with an estimated planted area of 601 500 ha and an expected yield of 1,43 t/ha.

Other crops:

The production forecast for soybeans also remained unchanged at 1,551 million tons, with an estimated planted area of 787 200 ha and an expected yield of 1,97 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop was increased by 3,37% or 1 750 tons to 53 750 tons. The area estimate is 56 300 ha and the expected yield is 0,95 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum was also increased by 4,50% or 4 735 tons to 109 855 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 28 800 ha. The expected yield is 3,81 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 69 360 tons, which is 5,72% or 3 750 tons more than the previous forecast of 65 610 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,30 t/ha.


Please note that the 'intentions of farmers' to plant summer grain crops for 2019 will be released on 25 October 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,931 miljoen ton gestel, wat 2,09% of 276 100 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 13,207 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,58 t/ha is.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,802 miljoen ton, wat 1,14% of 78 400 ton minder is as die 6,880 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,36 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,130 miljoen ton, wat 3,12% of 197 700 ton minder is as die 6,327 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,83 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is overanderd gelaat op 858 605 ton, met 'n geskatte oppervlakte van 601 500 ha en 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,43 t/ha.

Ander gewasse:

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook onveranderd gelaat op 1,551 miljoen ton met 'n geskatte oppervlakte van 787 200 ha en 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,97 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is verhoog met 3,37% of 1 750 ton na 53 750 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 0,95 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook opwaarts aangepas met 4,50% of 4 735 ton na 109 855 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met sorghum is 28 800 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,81 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 69 360 ton, wat 5,72% of 3 750 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 65 610 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,30 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die 'voorneme van produsente om somergraangewasse te plant' vir 2019, op 25 Oktober 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 236 644 414 162 248 500 463 600 -10.66
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 78 191 179 813 118 150 267 400 -32.76
Maize / Mielies 314 835 593 975 366 650 731 000 -18.74

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 314 835 ha, which represents a decrease of 14,13%, compared to the 366 650 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 593 975 tons, which is 18,74% less than the 731 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 314 835 ha, wat 'n afname van 14,13% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 366 650 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 593 975 ton, wat 18,74% minder is as die 731 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2018   Oppervlakte
Area planted with non-commercial maize from 2000 until 2018

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2018   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production from 2000 until 2018
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Wheat / Koring 508 350 1 845 100 1 808 050 491 600 1 535 000 +2.05
Malting barley / Moutgars 119 000 390 840 390 840 91 380 307 000
Canola 77 000 111 650 112 000 84 000 93 500 -0.31

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Wheat production (tons) graph: 2010-2018

Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Graph of malting barley production (tons): 2010-2018

Canola
Production   2010-2018   Produksie
Canola production graph (tons): 2010-2018
Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 318 000 890 400 326 000 586 800
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 292 600 38 000 311 650
Free State / Vrystaat 105 000 367 500 80 000 336 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 650 10 725 1 900 9 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 000 43 400 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 21 875 4 000 25 400
Limpopo 20 000 124 000 20 000 132 000
Gauteng 1 200 7 800 700 4 200
North West / Noordwes 14 000 86 800 13 500 83 700
Total / Totaal 508 350 1 845 100 491 600 1 535 000

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast of winter crops for 2018  26 September 2018  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting van wintergewasse 2018

Winter cereal crops – 2018 production season

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,845 million tons, which is 2,05% or 37 050 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,808 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,63 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 890 400 tons (48%), in the Free State 367 500 tons (20%) and in the Northern Cape 292 600 tons (16%).

The area estimate for wheat remained unchanged at 508 350 ha. An estimated 318 000 ha or 63% is planted in the Western Cape, 105 000 ha or 21% in the Free State and 38 000 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 390 840 tons. The area planted is estimated at 119 000 ha, while the expected yield is 3,28 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 111 650 tons, which is 0,31% or 350 tons less than the previous forecast of 112 000 tons. The area estimate for canola was revised downwards by 3 000 ha to 77 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,45 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for winter cereals for 2018 will be released on 25 October 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2018 produksieseisoen

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,845 miljoen ton, wat 2,05% of 37 050 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,808 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,63 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 890 400 ton (48%), in die Vrystaat 367 500 ton (20%) en in die Noord-Kaap 292 600 ton (16%).

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is onveranderd gelaat op 508 350 ha. Die beraamde oppervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 318 000 ha of 63%, die Vrystaat is 105 000 ha of 21% en 38 000 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onveranderd gelaat op 390 840 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 119 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,28 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 111 650 ton, wat 0,31% of 350 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 112 000 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is afwaarts aangepas met 3 000 ha na 77 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,45 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2018 op 25 Oktober 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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