Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 26 July 2018

Sixth production forecast for 2018 summer crops and preliminary 2018 winter cereals estimates
Sesde produksieskatting vir 2018 somergewasse en voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir 2018 wintergewasse

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 268 100 6 879 960 6 879 960 1 643 100 9 916 000
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 050 750 6 327 350 6 327 350 985 500 6 904 000
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 318 850 13 207 310 13 207 310 2 628 600 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 601 500 792 255 792 255 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 787 200 1 550 800 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 300 52 000 60 600 56 000 92 050 -14.2
Sorghum 28 800 83 070 83 070 42 350 152 000
Dry beans / Droëbone 53 360 65 610 65 610 45 050 68 525
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
  Total maize / Totaal mielies 314 835 593 975 593 975 366 650 731 000
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 2 633 685 13 801 285 13 801 285 2 995 250 17 551 000

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018

RSA White maize / RSA Witmielies
Production forecast   Feb-Jul 2018   Produksieskatting
White maize production forecast graph: February to July 2018
RSA Yellow maize / RSA Geelmielies
Production forecast   Feb-Jul 2018   Produksieskatting
Yellow maize production forecast graph: February to July 2018
RSA Soybeans / RSA Sojabone
Production forecast   Feb-Jul 2018   Produksieskatting
Soybeans production forecast graph: February to July 2018
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Sixth forecast / Sesde skatting Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2018 2018 2017 2017
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750 200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 600 43 000 46 600 41 760 636 400 678 160 3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 666 000 712 200
Free State / Vrystaat
644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 542 000 2 111 500 5 653 500 805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 110 000 2 252 000 7 362 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200 4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 50 000 95 000 301 500 390 000 691 500 50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 390 000 740 000
Mpumalanga
140 000 340 000 480 000 854 000 2 108 000 2 962 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 342 500 3 430 500
Limpopo
12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 147 000 237 000 40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000
Gauteng
50 000 62 000 112 000 290 000 378 200 668 200 60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 414 000 804 000
North West / Noordwes
370 000 110 000 480 000 1 739 000 451 000 2 190 000 520 000 110 000 630 000 2 599 000 561 000 3 160 000
Total / Totaal
1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 879 850 6 327 350 13 207 310 1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 916 000 6 904 000 16 820 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 600 1 920 250 400
Free State / Vrystaat 314 000 455 300 330 000 478 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300
Mpumalanga 2 300 2 185 2 200 2 300
Limpopo 45 000 36 000 90 000 85 500
Gauteng 5 500 5 500 3 000 3 000
North West / Noordwes 233 000 291 250 210 000 304 500
Total / Totaal 601 500 792 255 635 750 874 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 800 1 200 700 1 050
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 345 000 552 000 240 000 504 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 400 2 400 1 850 2 775
KwaZulu-Natal 40 000 124 000 30 500 89 605
Mpumalanga 310 000 682 000 241 000 554 300
Limpopo 20 000 56 000 8 500 29 750
Gauteng 30 000 61 500 25 400 71 120
North West / Noordwes 36 000 61 200 23 000 52 900
Total / Totaal 787 200 1 550 800 573 950 1 316 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 800 7 000 4 000 14 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 19 800 22 000 34 100
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 3 500 7 000 3 000 4 800
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 28 000 18 200 27 000 39 150
Total / Totaal 56 300 52 000 56 000 92 050
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 20 30 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 540 1 080 650 1 300
Free State / Vrystaat 26 000 28 600 20 000 32 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 000 3 600 4 500 5 400
Mpumalanga 7 000 9 800 5 500 8 525
Limpopo 7 500 11 250 7 000 12 950
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 1 500 2 250
North West / Noordwes 8 000 9 600 5 500 5 500
Total / Totaal 53 360 65 610 45 050 68 525
Sorghum
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2018  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2018 2018 2017 2017
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 6 300 18 270 7 700 24 640
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 500 400 1 520
Mpumalanga 7 500 36 000 12 000 62 400
Limpopo 5 000 6 000 18 000 50 400
Gauteng 1 500 4 500 750 2 400
North West / Noordwes 8 000 16 800 3 500 10 640
Total / Totaal 28 800 83 070 42 350 152 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and sixth production forecast (2018)  July 26 Julie 2018  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting (2018)

Summer field crops – 2018

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop remained unchanged at 13,207 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,70 t/ha.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,880 million tons, whilst the yield is 5,43 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,327 million tons and the yield is 6,02 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed also remained unchanged at 792 255 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 601 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,32 t/ha.

Other crops:

The production forecast for soybeans is 1,551 million tons, with an estimated planted area of 787 200 ha and an expected yield of 1,97 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop was decreased by 14,19% or 8 600 tons to 52 000 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 56 300 ha and the expected yield is 0,92 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum remained unchanged at 83 070 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 28 800 ha. The expected yield is 2,88 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast also remained unchanged at 65 610 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,23 t/ha.


Please note that the seventh production forecast for summer field crops for 2018, will be released on 28 August 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2018

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 13,207 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,70 t/ha is.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,880 miljoen ton, terwyl die opbrengs 5,43 t/ha is. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,327 miljoen ton, en die opbrengs is 6,02 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 792 255 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 601 500 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,32 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse:

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,551 miljoen ton met 'n geskatte oppervlakte van 787 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,97 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is afwaarts aangepas met 14,19% of 8 600 ton na 52 000 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 56 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 0,92 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is onveranderd gelaat op 83 070 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met sorghum is 28 800 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,88 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting ook onver­anderd gelaat op 65 610 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,23 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sewende produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2018, op 28 Augustus 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2018 2018 2017 2017
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 236 644 414 162 248 500 463 600 -10.66
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 78 191 179 813 118 150 267 400 -32.76
Maize / Mielies 314 835 593 975 366 650 731 000 -18.74

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 314 835 ha, which represents a decrease of 14,13%, compared to the 366 650 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 593 975 tons, which is 18,74% less than the 731 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 314 835 ha, wat 'n afname van 14,13% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 366 650 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 593 975 ton, wat 18,74% minder is as die 731 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2018   Oppervlakte
Area planted with non-commercial maize from 2000 until 2018

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2018   Produksie
Non-commercial maize production from 2000 until 2018
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area planted  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2018 Mid April 2018 2017 2017
Ha Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Wheat / Koring 505 500 500 500 491 600 1 535 000 +2.73
Malting barley / Moutgars 106 150 95 700 91 380 307 000 +16.16
Canola 80 000 78 500 84 000 93 468 -4.76
Total / Totaal 691 150 674 700 666 980 1 935 500 +3.62
* Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2018 / Voorneme baseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2018.
RSA Wheat / RSA Koring
Area planted   2005-2018   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to RSA wheat graph: 2005-2018

RSA Malting barley / RSA Moutgars
Area planted   2005-2018   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to RSA malting barley graph: 2005-2018

RSA Canola
Area planted   2005-2018   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to RSA canola graph: 2005-2018
Wheat / Koring
Preliminary area planted estimate  2018  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2018 Mid April 2018 2017 2017
Ha Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 318 000 320 000 326 000 586 800
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 37 000 38 000 311 650
Free State / Vrystaat 100 000 95 000 80 000 336 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 750 2 000 1 900 9 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 000 6 500 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 3 500 4 000 25 400
Limpopo 22 000 22 000 20 000 132 000
Gauteng 750 500 700 4 200
North West / Noordwes 14 000 14 000 13 500 83 700
Total / Totaal 505 000 500 500 491 600 1 535 000
* Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2018 / Voorneme baseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2018.

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2018 / Voorlopige oppevlakteskatting van wintergewasse 2018

Winter cereal crops – 2018 production season

The preliminary area estimate is based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis and reflects the position as at the middle of July 2018, as well as inputs from the PDA representatives. Please note that the information from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), as conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), for the Western Cape will be available in August 2018 and for the Free State in September 2018.

Wheat

The preliminary area estimate for wheat is 505 000 ha, which is 2,73% or 13 400 ha more than the 491 600 ha planted for the previous season.

An estimated 318 000 ha is planted in the Western Cape, which is 8 000 ha less than the 326 000 ha planted for the previous season. In the Free State, 100 000 ha is planted, which is 20 000 ha more than the 80 000 ha planted for the previous season. The area planted in the Northern Cape is 38 000 ha, which is the same area than the previous season.

Other crops

The preliminary area estimate for malting barley is 106 150 ha, which is 16,16% or 14 770 ha more than the 91 380 ha of last season.

The area planted to canola is 80 000 ha, which is 4,76% or 4 000 ha less than the 84 000 ha planted for the previous season.


Please note that the revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for winter cereals for 2018 will be released on 28 August 2018.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2018 produksieseisoen

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Julie 2018, sowel as insette van die PDL verteen­woordigers. Let wel, inligting van die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel ("PICES"), soos gedoen deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, sal vir die Wes-Kaap in Augustus 2018 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat in September 2018.

Koring

Die voorlopige skatting van die oppervlakte onder koring beloop 505 000 ha, wat 2,73% of 13 400 ha meer is as die 491 600 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Die beraamde oppervlakte beplant in die Wes-Kaap is 318 000 ha, wat 8 000 ha minder is as die 326 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Vir die Vrystaat is die aanplantings 100 000 ha, wat 20 000 ha meer is as die 80 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aange­plant is. Die oppervlakte beplant in die Noord-Kaap is 38 000 ha, wat dieselfde oppervlakte is as die vorige seisoen.

Ander gewasse

Die voorlopige oppervlakskatting vir moutgars is 106 150 ha, wat 16,16% of 14 770 ha meer is as die 91 380 ha van verlede seisoen. Die oppervlakte onder kanola is 80 000 ha, wat 4,76% of 4 000 ha minder is as die 84 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die hersiene oppervlakte beplant en eerste produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2018 op 28 Augustus 2018 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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