Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 26 July 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 9 507 050 9 466 800 1 014 750 3 408 500 +0.43
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 6 462 250 6 164 250 932 000 4 370 000 +4.83
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 15 969 300 15 631 050 1 946 750 7 778 500 +2.16
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 821 970 821 970 718 500 755 000 -
Soybeans / Sojabone 573 950 1 340 370 1 340 370 502 800 742 000 -
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 000 90 550 90 550 22 600 17 680 -
Sorghum 42 350 151 335 151 335 48 500 70 500 -
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 050 68 525 68 450 34 400 35 445 +0.11
Total / Totaal 3 981 700 18 442 050 18 103 725 3 273 550 9 399 125 +1.87

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2017   Produksie
1st to 6th – up by 2,051 million tons / 1ste tot 6de skatting – op met 2,051 miljoen ton

Graph showing total production of maize 1st to 6th forecast

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2017   Produksie
1st to 6th – up by 1.194 million tons / 1ste tot 6de skatting – op met 1.194 miljoen ton

Graph showing white maize production in 2017 1st to 6th forecast

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2017   Produksie
1st to 6th – up by 856 750 tons / 1ste tot 6de skatting – op met 856 750 ton

Graph showing yellow maize production in 2017 1st to 6th forecast
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 45 500 652 500 698 000 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 4 950 750 2 023 500 6 974 250 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 61 750 92 550 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 330 000 375 000 705 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 1 040 000 2 244 000 3 284 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 292 000 192 000 484 000 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 372 000 360 000 732 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 444 000 533 500 2 977 500 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 507 050 6 462 250 15 969 300 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 250 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 445 500 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 420 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 76 500 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 000 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 294 000 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 821 970 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 240 000 528 000 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 89 975 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 554 300 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 8 500 29 750 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 71 120 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 52 900 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 573 950 1 340 370 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 34 100 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 000 4 650 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 27 000 37 800 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 56 000 90 550 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 300 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 20 000 32 000 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 8 525 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 7 000 12 950 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 2 250 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 5 500 5 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 050 68 525 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 24 640 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 520 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 62 400 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 50 400 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 400 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 9 975 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 151 335 48 500 70 500

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Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and sixth production forecast  July 26 Julie 2017  Oppervlakte en sesde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,969 million tons, which is 2,16% or 338 250 tons more than the previous forecast of 15,631 million tons. It is the largest maize crop produced in the history of SA. The area estimate for maize is 2,629 million ha, while the expected yield is 6,08 t/ha – also the highest yield ever.

The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 83% of the 2017 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,643 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,507 million tons, which is 0,43% or 40 250 tons more than the 9,467 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,79 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,462 million tons, which is 4,83% or 298 000 tons more than the 6,164 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,56 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 821 970 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, while the expected yield is 1,29 t/ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for soybeans also remained unchanged at 1,340 millions tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 573 950 ha and the expected yield is 2,34 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 90 550 tons. The area estimate is 56 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,62 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum remained unchanged at 151 335 tons, whilst the area estimate for sorghum is 42 350 ha. The expected yield is 3,57 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast showed a slight increase of 0,11% or 75 tons to 68 525 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 45 050 ha, with an expected yield of 1,52 t/ha.


Please note that the seventh production forecast for summer field crops for 2017 will be released on 29 August 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,969 miljoen ton gestel, wat 2,16% of 338 250 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 15,631 miljoen ton. Dit is die grootste mielie-oes nog geproduseer in die geskiedenis van SA. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,629 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 6,08 t/ha is – ook die hoogste opbrengs ooit.

Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, nl. die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 83% van die 2017-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 985 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9,507 miljoen ton, wat 0,43% of 40 250 ton meer is as die 9,467 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,79 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,462 miljoen ton, wat 4,83% of 298 000 ton meer is as die 6,164 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,56 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is on­ver­anderd gelaat op 821 970 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,29 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook on­veranderd gelaat op 1,340 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 573 950 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,34 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 90 550 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,62 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is onveranderd gelaat op 151 335 ton, terwyl die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum 42 350 ha is. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,57 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone dui die produksieskatting op 'n geringe styging van 0,11% of 75 ton na 68 525 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 45 050 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,52 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sewende produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2017, op 29 Augustus 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area planted and production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 248 500 463 600 191 225 286 175 +62.00
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 118 150 267 400 74 905 149 565 +78.79
Maize / Mielies 366 650 731 000 266 130 435 740 +67.76

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 366 650 ha, which represents an increase of 37,77%, compared to the 266 130 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 731 000 tons, which is 67,76% more than the 435 740 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 64% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 366 650 ha, wat 'n toename van 37,77% verteen­woordig in vergelyking met die 266 130 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 731 000 ton, wat 67,76% meer is as die 435 740 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 64% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2017   Oppervlakte

Graph showing area of non-commercial maize from 2000 to 2017 in South Africa

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph showing non-commercial maize production in South Africa from 2000 to 2017

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area planted estimate  2017  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions ¹
Voorneme ¹
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 Mid April 2017 2016 2016
Ha Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 498 850 496 350 508 365 1 910 000 -1.87
  Malting barley / Moutgars 98 800 96 000 88 695 355 000 +11.39
Canola 87 000 90 000 68 075 105 000 +27.80
Total / Totaal 684 650 682 350 665 135 2 370 000 +2.93

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2017.
¹  Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2017.

Wheat / Koring
Preliminary area planted estimate  2017  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions ¹
Voorneme ¹
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2017 Mid April 2017 2016 2016
Ha Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 325 000 325 000 323 000 1 098 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 35 500 35 000 266 000
Free State / Vrystaat 90 000 90 000 110 000 304 460
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 900 1 900 2 200 11 000
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 7 500 6 500 37 050
Mpumalanga 3 300 3 300 2 300 13 800
Limpopo 20 000 20 000 17 000 103 700
Gauteng 350 350 365 2 190
North West / Noordwes 12 800 12 800 12 000 69 600
Total / Totaal 498 850 496 350 508 365 1 910 000

¹  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2017.
¹  Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2017.

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph showing area planted to wheat 2005-2017 in South Africa

Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph depicting area planted to malting barley in South Africa from 2005 to 2017

Canola
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph showing area planted to canola from 2005 to 2017 in South Africa

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate of winter crops  28 February / Februarie 2017  Oppervlakteskatting en finale produksieskatting van wintergewasse

Winter cereal crops

The preliminary area estimate is based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Econ. Analysis and reflects the position as at the middle of July 2017, as well as inputs from the PDA representatives. Please note that the information from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), as conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), for the Western Cape will be available in August 2017 and for the Free State in September 2017.

Wheat: The preliminary area estimate for wheat is 498 850 ha, which is 1,87% or 9 515 ha less than the 508 365 ha planted for the previous season. On record, this is the third smallest area planted to wheat (since the 1930's). The smallest area planted to wheat was during 2014, when 476 570 ha was planted, whereas the second smallest area was planted during 2015, namely 482 150 ha.

An estimated 325 000 ha is planted in the Western Cape, which is 2 000 ha more than the 323 000 ha planted for the previous season. In the Free State, 90 000 ha is planted, which is 20 000 ha less than the 110 000 ha planted for the previous season. The area planted in the Northern Cape is 38 000 ha, which is 3 000 ha more than the 35 000 ha for the previous season.

Other crops: The preliminary area estimate for malting barley is 98 800 ha, which is 11,39% or 10 105 ha more than the 88 695 ha of last season. The area planted to canola is 87 000 ha, which is 27,80% or 18 925 ha more than the 68 075 ha planted for the previous season.


Please note that the revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 29 August 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Julie 2017, sowel as insette van die PDL ver­teen­woordigers. Let wel, inligting van die Produsente Onaf­hank­like Oesskattingstelsel ("PICES"), soos gedoen deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, sal vir die Wes-Kaap in Augustus 2017 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat in September 2017.

Koring: Die voorlopige skatting van die oppervlakte onder koring beloop 498 850 ha, wat 1,87% of 9 515 ha minder is as die 508 365 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Volgens rekords, is dit die derde kleinste oppervlakte beplant met koring (sedert die 1930's). Die kleinste oppervlakte beplant met koring was ge­durende 2014, toe 476 570 ha geplant was, terwyl die tweede kleinste oppervlakte gedurende 2015 geplant was, naamlik 482 150 ha.

Die beraamde oppervlakte beplant in die Wes-Kaap is 325 000 ha, wat 2 000 ha meer is as die 323 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aan­geplant is. Vir die Vrystaat is die aanplantings 90 000 ha, wat 20 000 ha minder is as die 110 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Die oppervlakte beplant in die Noord-Kaap is 38 000 ha, wat 3 000 ha meer is as die 35 000 ha wat die vorige seisoen aangeplant is.

Ander gewasse: Die voorlopige oppervlakskatting vir moutgars is 98 800 ha, wat 11,39% of 10 105 ha meer is as die 88 695 ha van verlede seisoen. Die oppervlakte onder canola is 87 000 ha, wat 27,80% of 18 925 ha meer is as die 68 075 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die hersiene oppervlakte beplant en eerste produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2017 op 29 Augus­tus 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.