Fifth production forecast for winter cereals (2020)
Vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2020)

Index December 18 Desember Indeks
Crop Estimates Committee logo

Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 509 800 2 149 900 2 149 270 540 000 1 535 000 -0.06
Malting barley / Moutgars 141 690 550 246 552 766 131 960 345 000 -0.46
Canola 74 120 163 256 148 456 74 000 95 000 +9.97
Cereal oats / Hawermout 26 200 47 400 47 400 21 000 16 500

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2020/2021 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2020/2021 = 2020

Wheat / Koring
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 1 108 400 325 000 650 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 37 000 275 650 37 500 262 500
Free State / Vrystaat 94 000 432 400 128 000 326 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 4 000 26 000 3 100 18 150
KwaZulu-Natal 7 800 48 360 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 000 19 500 4 000 25 200
Limpopo 23 000 147 200 20 000 120 000
Gauteng 1 300 8 190 1 400 8 400
North West / Noordwes 13 700 82 200 13 500 79 000
Total / Totaal 509 800 2 147 900 540 000 1 535 000
Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Wheat production: 2010-2020 graph
Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Malting barley production: 2010-2020 graph
Canola
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Canola production: 2010-2020 graph

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast for 2020 / Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting vir 2020

Winter cereal crops – 2020

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 2,148 million tons, which is 0,06% or 1 370 tons less than the previous forecast of 2,149 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 4,21 t/ha. This is the largest expected wheat crop since the 2,427 million tons of the 2002 season.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,108 million tons (52%), in the Free State 432 400 tons (20%) and in the Northern Cape 275 650 tons (13%).

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley is 550 246 tons, which is 0,46% or 2 520 tons less than the previous forecast of 552 766 tons. The area planted is estimated at 141 690 ha, while the expected yield is 3,88 t/ha. This is the largest expected malting barley crop recorded for SA.

The expected canola crop is 163 256 tons, which is 9,97% or 14 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 148 456 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 120 ha, with an expected yield of 2,20 t/ha. It is also the largest expected canola crop ever recorded for SA.

The expected oats (cereals) crop for 2020 remained unchanged at 47 400 tons. The area estimate is 26 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,81 t/ha.


Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2020 will be released on 28 January 2021.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2020

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 2,148 miljoen ton, wat 0,06% of 1 370 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 2,149 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,21 t/ha is. Hierdie is die grootste verwagte koring-oes sedert die 2,427 miljoen ton van die 2002 seisoen.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,108 miljoen ton (52%), in die Vrystaat 432 400 ton (20%) en in die Noord-Kaap 275 650 ton (13%).

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 550 246 ton, wat 0,46% of 2 520 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 552 766 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 141 690 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,88 t/ha beloop. Dit is die grootste verwagte moutgars-oes wat nog vir SA aangeteken is.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 163 256 ton, wat 9,97% of 14 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 148 456 ton. Die oppervlakte­skatting vir canola is 74 120 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 2,20 t/ha. Dit is ook die grootste verwagte canola-oes wat nog aangeteken is vir SA.

Die verwagte hawer-oes (ontbytgraan) vir die 2020-seisoen is onveranderd gelaat op 47 400 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 26 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,81 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2020 op 28 Januarie 2021 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
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  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
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