Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2013 November

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated November 2013)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Requirements / Sales 45 000 45 000 18 000 1 856 360 1 877 671 2 000 000
Available / Produced 105 000 85 000 55 000 766 927 760 321 889 877
Shortage / Imports -60 000 -40 000 -37 000 1 089 433 1 117 350 1 110 123

2013/2014 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
AFMA Members 26 492 41 875 17 052 1 329 583 1 254 487 1 277 202
Non-AFMA Members 18 508 3 125 948 526 777 623 184 722 798
Total 45 000 45 000 18 000 1 856 360 1 877 671 2 000 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
2013/2014 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2011/2012   2012/2013   2013/2014  
Sunflower oilcake 279 765 4.55 290 032 4.70 305 802 4.77
Groundnuts oilcake 2 045 0.03 1 759 0.03 1 458 0.02
Soy oilcake 885 988 14.42 814 604 13.19 805 290 12.57
Full fat soy 122 772 2.00 77 876 1.26 81 450 1.27
Cottonseed oilcake 14 291 0.23 17 539 0.28 24 324 0.38
Full fat cottonseed 7 611 0.12 9 436 0.15 10 944 0.17
Canola oilcake 9 071 0.15 14 847 0.24 19 158 0.30
Full fat canola 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 8 011 0.13 27 969 0.45 27 108 0.42
Maize Germ Oilcake 29 0.00 425 0.00 1 662 0.03
Total oilcake 1 329 583 21.67 1 254 487 21.52 1 277 202 19.94
Total maize products 3 236 414 58.68 3 199 641 51.80 3 344 904 52.22
Total fish meal 26 492 0.43 41 875 0.68 17 052 0.27

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
AFMA raw material usage April 2013 to March 2014 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
RSA 90 000 70 000 40 000      
Namibia ¹ 15 000 15 000 15 000      
Total 105 000 85 000 55 000 -60 000 -40 000 -37 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2013/2014 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2013/2014)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 1 1 0 235 588  
Sunflower oilcake 336 966 233 268 252 000 57 159 166 273  
Soy cake 227 600 364 240 552 000 922 499 728 150  
  - Full fat 120 160 105 120        
  - Beans       1 083 468  
Cotton cake     5 602 68 333 127 604  
  - Full fat 40 000 11 562   11 763 37 232  
Other:            
Canola 24 200 31 130 66 275      
Lupins 18 000 15 000 14 000      
Copra & Palm Kernel       28 361 57 035  
Total 766 927 760 321 889 877 1 089 433 1 117 350 1 110 123

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2012/2013
2013/2014 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010-2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 740 000 5 580 300
Yellow maize 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000 5 090 000 6 142 250
Sorghum 276 500 220 093 155 000 135 500 151 064
Groundnuts 99 500 87 880 64 250 59 000 42 300
Sunflower 801 000 516 265 860 000 522 000 566 600
Soybeans 516 000 560 950 710 000 650 000 787 100
Cotton seed ¹ 15 658 14 793 31 373 22 326 11 188
Wheat 1 958 000 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 870 000 1 790 850
Canola 40 350 36 900 58 800 79 000 108 501

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third production estimate for winter crops (24 October 2013) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2013/2014 marketing year (24 October 2013).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White maize 757 000 85 000 5 580 300 718 000 5 704 300
Yellow maize 660 000 0 6 142 250 1 121 000 5 681 250
Sorghum 48 300 55 000 151 064 40 000 214 364
Groundnuts 17 800 18 000 42 300 8 000 70 100
Sunflower 114 400 11 700 566 600 0 692 700
Soybeans 175 900 800 787 100 16 000 947 800
Wheat 499 000 1 550 000 1 790 850 251 000 3 588 850
Canola 24 500 0 108 501 0 133 001

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200 1 553 000
Yellow maize 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000 1 132 000
Sorghum 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620 70 000
Groundnuts 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900 48 500
Sunflower 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 700 620 000
Soybeans 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 516 500 510 000
Wheat 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 511 200 505 500
Canola 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100 72 156
Total 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 467 220 4 511 156

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Intentions to plant summer crops 2013/2014 production season (24 October 2013). Revised area estimate to plant winter crops 2013 production season (24 October 2013).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September