Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 February 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 8 312 950 1 014 750 3 408 500 +143.89
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 5 605 500 932 000 4 370 000 +28.27
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 13 918 450 1 946 750 7 778 500 +78.93
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 928 620 718 500 755 000 +23.00
Soybeans / Sojabone 565 850 1 070 495 502 800 742 000 +44.27
Groundnuts / Grondbone 52 500 88 175 22 600 17 680 +398.73
Sorghum 42 350 140 950 48 500 70 500 +99.93
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 550 64 345 34 400 35 445 +81.53
Total / Totaal 3 970 600 16 211 035 3 273 550 9 399 125 +72.47

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to white maize from 2010 to 2017

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to yellow maize from 2010 to 2017

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing total area planted to maize from 2010 to 2017
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 1 800 18 000 19 800 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 42 000 607 500 649 500 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 4 145 750 1 704 000 5 849 750 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 26 400 57 000 83 400 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 310 000 325 000 635 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 960 000 1 980 000 2 940 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 240 000 144 000 384 000 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 351 000 330 000 681 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 236 000 440 000 2 676 000 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 8 12 950 5 605 500 13 918 450 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 250 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 528 000 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 420 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 90 000 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 150 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 304 500 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 928 620 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 230 000 402 500 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 85 400 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 433 800 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 10 400 31 200 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 58 420 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 44 850 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 565 850 1 070 495 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 39 600 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 2 500 3 375 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 24 000 31 200 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 52 500 88 175 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 495 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 18 000 25 200 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 7 700 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 5 000 10 000 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 1 950 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 10 000 12 000 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 550 64 345 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 23 100 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 600 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 60 000 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 43 200 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 550 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 10 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 140 950 48 500 70 500

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

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  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area estimate and first production forecast  February 28 Februarie 2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The revised area estimate for maize is 2,629 million ha, which is 35,03% or 681 850 ha more than the 1,947 mil­lion ha planted for the previous season and also 3,11% or 79 400 ha more than the preliminary area estimate of 2,549 million ha released in January 2017.

The expected commercial maize crop is 13,918 million tons, which is 78,93% or 6,140 million tons more than the 7,778 million tons of the previous season (2016), which was a drought year.

The area planted figures are mainly based on information obtained from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC) for Free State, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng and North West provinces.

Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the NCSC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2017; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2017. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from pro­ducers in the different provinces.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,643 million ha, which represents an increase of 61,92% or 628 350 ha compared to the 1,015 million ha planted last season. In the case of yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha, which is also 5,74% or 53 500 ha more than the 932 000 ha planted last season.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,313 million tons, which is 143,89% or 4,904 million tons more than the 3,408 million tons of last season. The yield for white maize is 5,06 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,605 million tons, which is 28,27% or 1,235 million tons more than the 4,370 million tons of last season. The yield for yellow maize is 5,69 t/ha.

Other summer crops:

Sunflower seed: The revised area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, which is 11,52% or 82 750 ha less than the 718 500 ha planted the previous season. The production forecast for sun­flow­er seed is 928 620 tons, which is 23,00% or 173 620 tons more than the 755 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,46 t/ha.

Other crops: It is estimated that 565 850 ha have been planted to soybeans, which represents an increase of 12,54% or 63 050 ha compared to the 502 800 ha planted last season. The production forecast is 1,070 mill. tons, which is 44,27% or 328 495 tons more than the 742 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,89 t/ha.

For groundnuts, the area estimate is 52 500 ha, which is 132,30% or 29 900 ha more than the 22 600 ha planted for the previous season. The expected crop is 88 175 tons – which is 398,73% or 70 495 tons more than the 17 680 tons of last season. The expect­ed yield is 1,68 t/ha.

The area estimate for sorghum decreased by 12,68% or 6 150 ha, from 48 500 ha to 42 350 ha against the previous season. The production forecast for sorghum is 140 950 tons, which is 99,93% or 70 450 tons more than the 70 500 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 3,33 t/ha.

For dry beans, the area estimate is 45 550 ha, which is 32,41% or 11 150 ha more than the 34 400 ha planted for the previous sea­son. The production forecast is 64 345 tons, which is 81,53% or 28 900 tons more than the 35 445 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,41 t/ha.


Please note that the second production forecast for summer field crops for 2017 will be released on 28 March 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die hersiene skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies beloop 2,629 miljoen ha, wat 35,03% of 681 850 ha meer is as die 1,947 miljoen ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is, maar ook 3,11% of 79 400 ha meer as die voorlopige oppervlakte­skatting van 2,549 miljoen ha soos vrygestel in Januarie 2017.

Die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is 13,918 miljoen ton wat 78,93% of 6,140 miljoen ton meer is as die 7,778 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen (2016), wat 'n droogte jaar was.

Die oppervlakte beplant syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel (PICES), soos deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium gerapporteer vir Vrystaat, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng en Noordwes provinsies.

Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die Konsortium vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2017 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2017. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha, wat 'n toename van 61,92% of 628 350 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 1,015 miljoen ha die vorige seisoen. In die geval van geelmielies is die oppervlakteskatting 985 500 ha, wat ook 5,74% of 53 500 ha meer is as die 932 000 ha geplant die vorige seisoen.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,313 miljoen ton, 143,89% of 4,904 miljoen ton meer is as die 3,408 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,06 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,605 miljoen ton, wat 28,27% of 1,235 miljoen ton meer is as die 4,370 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,69 t/ha.

Ander somergewasse:

Sonneblomsaad: Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 635 750 ha, wat 11,52% of 82 750 ha minder is as die 718 500 ha aangeplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 928 620 ton, wat 23,00% of 173 620 ton meer is as die 755 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,46 t/ha.

Ander gewasse: Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 565 850 ha, wat 'n toename van 12,54% of 63 050 ha verteen­woordig vergeleke met die 502 800 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 1,070 miljoen tons, wat 44,27% of 328 495 ton meer is as die 742 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die ver­wagte opbrengs is 1,89 t/ha.

Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 52 500 ha, wat 132,30% of 29 900 ha meer is as die 22 600 ha geplant vir die vorige sei­soen. Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 88 175 ton – 398,73% of 70 495 ton meer is as die 17 680 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die ver­wagte opbrengs is 1,68 t/ha.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum het afgeneem met 12,68% of 6 150 ha, van 48 500 ha tot 42 350 ha teenoor die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 140 950 ton – 99,93% of 70 450 ton meer is as die 70 500 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,33 t/ha.

Vir droëbone is die geskatte oppervlakte beplant 45 550 ha, wat 32,41% of 11 150 ha meer is as die 34 400 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 64 345 ton, wat 81,53% of 28 900 ton meer is as die 35 445 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die ver­wagte opbrengs is 1,41 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2016, op 28 Maart 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.


Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted and final production estimate  2016  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final forecast
Finale skatting
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2016 2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 508 365 1 909 540 1 893 390 482 150 1 440 000 +0.85
  Malting barley / Moutgars 88 695 354 065 354 065 93 730 332 000 -
Canola 68 075 105 460 105 460 78 050 93 000 -
Total / Totaal 665 135 2 369 065 2 352 915 653 930 1 865 000 +0.69

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016 = 2016
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016 = 2016

Wheat / Koring
Area planted and final production estimate  2016  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 323 000 1 098 200 310 000 697 500
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 000 266 000 36 000 259 200
Free State / Vrystaat 110 000 308 000 80 000 176 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 200 11 000 3 100 14 880
KwaZulu-Natal 6 500 37 050 7 300 41 000
Mpumalanga 2 300 13 800 3 500 19 500
Limpopo 17 000 103 700 27 000 144 420
Gauteng 365 2 190 250 1 500
North West / Noordwes 12 000 69 600 15 000 85 500
Total / Totaal 508 365 1 909 540 482 150 1 440 000

Wheat / Koring
Production   20072009-2016   Produksie

Graph showing wheat production from 2009 to 2016 in South Africa

Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2009-2016   Produksie

Graph depicting production of malting barley in South Africa from 2009 to 2016

Canola
Production   2009-2016   Produksie

Graph depicting production of canola from 2009 to 2016 in South Africa

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate of winter crops  28 February / Februarie 2017  Oppervlakteskatting en finale produksieskatting van wintergewasse

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,910 million tons, which is 0,85% or 16 150 tons more than the previous fore­cast of 1,893 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,76 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape increased by 1,49 % or 16 150 tons, from 1,082 million tons to 1,098 million tons against the previous forecast.

The production forecast for the Free State remained unchanged at 308 000 tons. In the Northern Cape, the expected production forecast also remained unchanged at 266 000 tons.

The area estimate for wheat 508 365 ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 354 065 tons. The area planted is estimated at 88 695 ha, while the expected yield is 3,99 t/ha.

The expected canola crop also remained unchanged at 105 460 tons. The area estimate for canola is 68 075 ha, with an expected yield of 1,55 t/ha.


Please note that the intentions to plant winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 25 April 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,910 miljoen ton, wat 0,85% of 16 150 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,893 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,76 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap het met 1,49 % of 16 150 ton toegeneem, van 1,082 miljoen ton tot 1,098 miljoen ton teen­oor die vorige skatting.

Die produksieskatting vir die Vrystaat is onveranderd gelaat op 308 000 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die verwagte produksie ook onveranderd gelaat op 266 000 ton.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 508 365 ha.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onver­anderd gelaat op 354 065 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 88 695 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,99 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 105 460 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 68 075 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,55 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorneme om wintergewasse te plant vir 2017 op 25 April 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.