Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 20 December 2016

Area planted estimate and fifth production forecast of winter crops 2016

Index of 24 November Indeks

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted estimate and fifth production forecast  2016  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2016 2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 508 365 1 875 540 1 766 280 482 150 1 440 000 +6.2
  Malting barley / Moutgars 88 695 339 135 309 815 93 730 332 000 +9.5
Canola 68 075 108 860 112 260 78 050 93 000 -3.0
Total / Totaal 665 135 2 323 535 2 188 355 653 930 1 865 000 +6.2

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2016
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2016

Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and fifth production forecast  2016  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 323 000 1 065 900 310 000 697 500
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 000 266 000 36 000 259 200
Free State / Vrystaat 110 000 308 000 80 000 176 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 200 11 000 3 100 14 880
KwaZulu-Natal 6 500 37 050 7 300 41 000
Mpumalanga 2 300 13 800 3 500 19 500
Limpopo 17 000 102 000 27 000 144 420
Gauteng 365 2 190 250 1 500
North West / Noordwes 12 000 69 600 15 000 85 500
Total / Totaal 508 365 1 875 540 482 150 1 440 000

Wheat – RSA – Koring
2016 Production   1st to 5th forecast / 1ste tot 5de skatting   Produksie 2016

Graph showing wheat production: 1st to 5th forecast for 2016 in South Africa

Malting barley – RSA / Moutgars – RSA
2016 Production   1st to 5th forecast / 1ste tot 5de skatting   Produksie 2016

Graph depicting production of malting barley - 1st to 5th forecast in South Africa in 2016

Canola – RSA
2016 Production   1st to 5th forecast / 1ste tot 5de skatting   Produksie 2016

Graph depicting production of canola - 1st to 5th forecast in South Africa in 2016

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast  24 November 2016  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,876 million tons, which is 6,2% or 109 260 tons more than the previous fore­cast of 1,766 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,69 t/ha. The main reason for the increase in wheat production is that farmers harvested better than expected yields, especially in the Western Cape.

The expected production in the Western Cape increased by 10,0% or 96 900 tons, from 969 000 tons to 1,066 million tons against the previous forecast.

The production forecast for the Free State remained unchanged at 308 000 tons. In the Northern Cape, the expected production fore­cast increased by 5,6% or 14 000 tons, from 252 000 tons to 266 000 tons.

The area estimate for wheat 508 365 ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley is 339 135 tons, which is 9,5% or 29 320 tons more than the previous fore­cast of 309 815 tons. The area planted is estimated at 88 695 ha, while the expected yield is 3,82 t/ha.

The expected canola crop was adjusted downwards by 3,0% or 3 400 tons to 108 860 tons. The area estimate for canola is 68 075 ha, with an expected yield of 1,60 t/ha.


Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2016 will be released on 26 January 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,876 miljoen ton, wat 6,2% of 109 260 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,766 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,69 t/ha is. Die hoofrede vir die toename in koringproduksie is as gevolg van produsente wat beter as verwagte opbrengste gestroop het, veral in die Wes-Kaap.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap het met 10,0 % of 96 900 ton toegeneem, van 969 000 ton tot 1,066 miljoen ton teenoor die vorige skatting.

Die produksieskatting vir die Vrystaat is onveranderd gelaat op 308 000 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die verwagte produksie opwaarts aangepas met 5,6% of 14 000 ton, van 252 000 ton tot 266 000 ton.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 508 365 ha.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 339 135 ton, wat 9,5% of 29 320 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 309 815 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 88 695 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,82 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is afwaarts aangepas met 3,0% of 3 400 ton na 108 860 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 68 075 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,60 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2016 op 26 Januarie 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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